How far off are we really? | PUNT ROAD END | Richmond Tigers Forum
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How far off are we really?

Rancey18 said:
I think its the 'Hunter vs the Hunted' concept Jack. We still don't seem to have a Plan B to combat when other teams shut down our Plan A.

Something about that is right, Rancey, that we can't handle being favourite, sorta thing. But I do altogether buy the no plan B thing - that we can't play second to the ball, hustle, heat, mop and counter. We got that right a number of times this year - every time we were chopped up at the clearances yet won the game. But we didn't do it n the final so fair criticism.

I think that the gap between teams is closing. Footy socialism means that the top teams aren't as good as they were and the bottom ones aren't as bad. But the dilution of the talent pool due to the expansion teams means none of them are as good.

So there's a change in emphasis. Teams are more about shape and style. North is heavily structured. Big. Strong. Their game is to get out the back. The predication is simple - two big strong North players can beat three opponents. Give or take. One gets out the back and off they go. Their talls are many and tall.

Compare that to the Richmond style. Swarms of little tigers hit the fall. First to the ball. They are augmented at ground level by small mobile KPPs with ground skills. Numbers of talls force the ball to ground where they can help mop up. Richmond has no big men to speak of and is no player who is dominant in the air. Even the ruckman struggles here. But the Tigers can win possession and then freeze the ball before tacking or cutting to run.

North and Richmond are opposites.

Hawthorn have no physical advantages over Richmond. They're pretty much the same shape. But they don't have the ball winning ability of the Tigers. So we expose them for that and freeze the ball. Then tack. They can't get a kick.

We've seen quite a bit of the dynamic of North against Richmond and Hawthorn against Richmond in recent years.

What we see now and will see increasingly is a sophisticated game of Rock, paper, scissors. This shape/style beats that shape/style.

Somewhere between our poor hunting skills, our lack of skill, and the limitations and advantages of our shape/style, lies the answer to our form vagaries. But lack of skill is still the main thing we need to improve on. A couple of good new players would be great.
 
houdini said:
IT SMACKS OF DESPERATION FROM A COACH TRYING TO HANG ON TO HIS JOB , WAY LONGER THAN HE SHOULD
Thanks for the caps, I wouldn't have known you were serious otherwise. The example is a fact. It is simply an event that recently happened. He could have added Geelong's issues before finally cracking through, there are plenty of examples. He is the senior coach, it is his job to make sure that the playing group and supporter base sees hope, even if it doesn't satisfy the keyboard warriors of this world. It isn't desperation, it is PR - which is absolutely a key part of his remit.
 
We can do through analysis paralysis and there will be plenty of that over the coming 6 months whilst we wait for 2016 season but to me there is no doubt that the gap between top and bottom, middle range and top range etc is much smaller than it has ever been in the AFL. One of the vanilla statements that get trotted out those days by AFL players is that if you are 10% off your game you get beaten. The fact is there is truth in that, it happens.

What that means to me is that a team who was 15-7 in the H&A season is close. Close enough to make the next step with not too many things required. All we need is our version of Gaff, Shepherd and masten to have career best seasons or pick up a Bennell and a Yarran and they play to their potential.

The point is to me is that do a few things right and we are undoubtedly a contender but if we have some injuries to key players and don't recruit well we could equally drop back to 12th.
 
WC had major injuries to two key backmen and still make the GF ( after not making the finals for a few years ) so injuries to a few of our players who are not key players is no excuse.
 
yandb said:
WC had major injuries to two key backmen and still make the GF ( after not making the finals for a few years ) so injuries to a few of our players who are not key players is no excuse.
Depends on who. Kennedy would be a massive loss for them, as Jack would be for us
 
Dyer'ere said:
Something about that is right, Rancey, that we can't handle being favourite, sorta thing. But I do altogether buy the no plan B thing - that we can't play second to the ball, hustle, heat, mop and counter. We got that right a number of times this year - every time we were chopped up at the clearances yet won the game. But we didn't do it n the final so fair criticism.

I think that the gap between teams is closing. Footy socialism means that the top teams aren't as good as they were and the bottom ones aren't as bad. But the dilution of the talent pool due to the expansion teams means none of them are as good.

So there's a change in emphasis. Teams are more about shape and style. North is heavily structured. Big. Strong. Their game is to get out the back. The predication is simple - two big strong North players can beat three opponents. Give or take. One gets out the back and off they go. Their talls are many and tall.

Compare that to the Richmond style. Swarms of little tigers hit the fall. First to the ball. They are augmented at ground level by small mobile KPPs with ground skills. Numbers of talls force the ball to ground where they can help mop up. Richmond has no big men to speak of and is no player who is dominant in the air. Even the ruckman struggles here. But the Tigers can win possession and then freeze the ball before tacking or cutting to run.

North and Richmond are opposites.

Hawthorn have no physical advantages over Richmond. They're pretty much the same shape. But they don't have the ball winning ability of the Tigers. So we expose them for that and freeze the ball. Then tack. They can't get a kick.

We've seen quite a bit of the dynamic of North against Richmond and Hawthorn against Richmond in recent years.

What we see now and will see increasingly is a sophisticated game of Rock, paper, scissors. This shape/style beats that shape/style.

Somewhere between our poor hunting skills, our lack of skill, and the limitations and advantages of our shape/style, lies the answer to our form vagaries. But lack of skill is still the main thing we need to improve on. A couple of good new players would be great.

Brilliant.
 
Dyer'ere said:
Something about that is right, Rancey, that we can't handle being favourite, sorta thing. But I do altogether buy the no plan B thing - that we can't play second to the ball, hustle, heat, mop and counter. We got that right a number of times this year - every time we were chopped up at the clearances yet won the game. But we didn't do it n the final so fair criticism.

I think that the gap between teams is closing. Footy socialism means that the top teams aren't as good as they were and the bottom ones aren't as bad. But the dilution of the talent pool due to the expansion teams means none of them are as good.

So there's a change in emphasis. Teams are more about shape and style. North is heavily structured. Big. Strong. Their game is to get out the back. The predication is simple - two big strong North players can beat three opponents. Give or take. One gets out the back and off they go. Their talls are many and tall.

Compare that to the Richmond style. Swarms of little tigers hit the fall. First to the ball. They are augmented at ground level by small mobile KPPs with ground skills. Numbers of talls force the ball to ground where they can help mop up. Richmond has no big men to speak of and is no player who is dominant in the air. Even the ruckman struggles here. But the Tigers can win possession and then freeze the ball before tacking or cutting to run.

North and Richmond are opposites.

Hawthorn have no physical advantages over Richmond. They're pretty much the same shape. But they don't have the ball winning ability of the Tigers. So we expose them for that and freeze the ball. Then tack. They can't get a kick.

We've seen quite a bit of the dynamic of North against Richmond and Hawthorn against Richmond in recent years.

What we see now and will see increasingly is a sophisticated game of Rock, paper, scissors. This shape/style beats that shape/style.

Somewhere between our poor hunting skills, our lack of skill, and the limitations and advantages of our shape/style, lies the answer to our form vagaries. But lack of skill is still the main thing we need to improve on. A couple of good new players would be great.

I like the rock scissors paper analogy a lot. I still don't believe we lost 'cos we're north bunnies though. We were outcoached and outplayed in that game for reasons discussed to death. I will say one thing though, you've been saying for a 2 or 3 seasons now, and I agree %100, that we aren't good enough at contested marks around the ground. We've improved, but we still aren't good enough. Lids, tick, K-mac, tick for his age, Cotch tick, Dusty, tick but need to improve, Brandy, was a tick but has gone backwards a bit, Rance tick obviously.

Thats around the ground, bookends-wise, Ty is improving and needs to improve more, Ivan has stagnated, Chaplin is the most frustrating for me, for his role and supposed standing, his hands needs to be bankable. Like a McGovern or Hurley, marking-wise only I'm talking about, for all his strengths and weaknesses, reliable clutch marking HAS to be his go. He'll take one then bobble one, take two then bobble one, take one then bobble two. etc, etc, etc. When we forst got him I asked my Port workmate, what he thought, 'drops too many marks'.

Got sidetracked on Chaplin there, but to take the next step, contested marking across the park needs to improve, not by that much, but it has to.
 
Quote from: Dyer'ere on Yesterday at 11:55:37 PM

Something about that is right, Rancey, that we can't handle being favourite, sorta thing. But I do altogether buy the no plan B thing - that we can't play second to the ball, hustle, heat, mop and counter. We got that right a number of times this year - every time we were chopped up at the clearances yet won the game. But we didn't do it n the final so fair criticism.

I think that the gap between teams is closing. Footy socialism means that the top teams aren't as good as they were and the bottom ones aren't as bad. But the dilution of the talent pool due to the expansion teams means none of them are as good.

So there's a change in emphasis. Teams are more about shape and style. North is heavily structured. Big. Strong. Their game is to get out the back. The predication is simple - two big strong North players can beat three opponents. Give or take. One gets out the back and off they go. Their talls are many and tall.

Compare that to the Richmond style. Swarms of little tigers hit the fall. First to the ball. They are augmented at ground level by small mobile KPPs with ground skills. Numbers of talls force the ball to ground where they can help mop up. Richmond has no big men to speak of and is no player who is dominant in the air. Even the ruckman struggles here. But the Tigers can win possession and then freeze the ball before tacking or cutting to run.

North and Richmond are opposites.

Hawthorn have no physical advantages over Richmond. They're pretty much the same shape. But they don't have the ball winning ability of the Tigers. So we expose them for that and freeze the ball. Then tack. They can't get a kick.

We've seen quite a bit of the dynamic of North against Richmond and Hawthorn against Richmond in recent years.

What we see now and will see increasingly is a sophisticated game of Rock, paper, scissors. This shape/style beats that shape/style.

Somewhere between our poor hunting skills, our lack of skill, and the limitations and advantages of our shape/style, lies the answer to our form vagaries. But lack of skill is still the main thing we need to improve on. A couple of good new players would be great.


I like the rock scissors paper analogy a lot. I still don't believe we lost 'cos we're north bunnies though. We were outcoached and outplayed in that game for reasons discussed to death. I will say one thing though, you've been saying for a 2 or 3 seasons now, and I agree %100, that we aren't good enough at contested marks around the ground. We've improved, but we still aren't good enough. Lids, tick, K-mac, tick for his age, Cotch tick, Dusty, tick but need to improve, Brandy, was a tick but has gone backwards a bit, Rance tick obviously.

Thats around the ground, bookends-wise, Ty is improving and needs to improve more, Ivan has stagnated, Chaplin is the most frustrating for me, for his role and supposed standing, his hands needs to be bankable. Like a McGovern or Hurley, marking-wise only I'm talking about, for all his strengths and weaknesses, reliable clutch marking HAS to be his go. He'll take one then bobble one, take two then bobble one, take one then bobble two. etc, etc, etc. When we forst got him I asked my Port workmate, what he thought, 'drops too many marks'.

Got sidetracked on Chaplin there, but to take the next step, contested marking across the park needs to improve, not by that much, but it has to.
tigersnake said:
I like the rock scissors paper analogy a lot. I still don't believe we lost 'cos we're north bunnies though. We were outcoached and outplayed in that game for reasons discussed to death. I will say one thing though, you've been saying for a 2 or 3 seasons now, and I agree %100, that we aren't good enough at contested marks around the ground. We've improved, but we still aren't good enough. Lids, tick, K-mac, tick for his age, Cotch tick, Dusty, tick but need to improve, Brandy, was a tick but has gone backwards a bit, Rance tick obviously.

Thats around the ground, bookends-wise, Ty is improving and needs to improve more, Ivan has stagnated, Chaplin is the most frustrating for me, for his role and supposed standing, his hands needs to be bankable. Like a McGovern or Hurley, marking-wise only I'm talking about, for all his strengths and weaknesses, reliable clutch marking HAS to be his go. He'll take one then bobble one, take two then bobble one, take one then bobble two. etc, etc, etc. When we forst got him I asked my Port workmate, what he thought, 'drops too many marks'.

Got sidetracked on Chaplin there, but to take the next step, contested marking across the park needs to improve, not by that much, but it has to.

Every now and then PRE hold a level of analysis that I can't get elsewhere and learn from. It is the beauty of the forum - a level of analysis beyond the increasingly poor news media. Thank you both for finding a way to build a theory that I believe is totally accurate and something the club could actually use.
 
Dyer'ere.....I salute you. Really interesting analysis........hadn't thought of it in those terms but it makes a lot of sense.
 
Given we only effectively added Hunt, Lambert and McIntosh to last year's side our basis for huge improvement was limited.

We did however take on 7 kids and nearly all of them have shown there is plenty to work with. However they will take some time to be effective. What this should do is give the side inmprovement over the next couple of years.

So the prudent thing will be to trade some decent players in this year.

The side has a good base now and given the right trading and drafting over the next few years we should expect to see a bigger jump in the output of the side as a whole.
 
We are a good sports psychologist away from a flag. Win the mental game and we will win finals.
 
We need to make the top 4 next year thats all i want now nothing less..

We can lose both finals, but i just want top 4! Make sense?

Still not over it!

B2
 
The Tigers are, in my opinion, two very good footballers and two good footballers away from being a decent team ... I am hoping the recruiting cards for the way of RFC this draft and trade period ... would be excellent to land a damn decent player.
 
If we assume we're more likely than not to bring in Bennel and Yarran, would they have made the difference between finishing 5th or Top 4? if not, would they have made a difference in our Eliminate against north?

We know we can beat Hawks, Freo and Swans without them.
 
Baloo said:
If we assume we're more likely than not to bring in Bennel and Yarran, would they have made the difference between finishing 5th or Top 4? if not, would they have made a difference in our Eliminate against north?

We know we can beat Hawks, Freo and Swans without them.

We would've beaten Melbourne if we had Bennell and Yarran, never mind Norf.
 
St Kevin said:
We would've beaten Melbourne if we had Bennell and Yarran, never mind Norf.

These sorts of statements are pure fantasy. Bennell has just been punted from his club and Yarran spent much of the year in the reserves.
Reality is whilst talented, both of these players come with question marks and have a lot to prove to themselves and any club they play for next season whether us or anyone else.

How far off are we? Only time will tell us.