I see the Balta one differently, it was there IMO. Looked a bit iffy in real time, but there, defs there in slo mo. Took the tacklers on and dropped it cold. Thats how HTB used to be adjudicated when I was a boy. If you didn't HB or kick it, and quickly, when tackled it was HTB. Simple. Prior opp, and 'spilled out in the tackle', whatever the *smile* that is, have since muddied the waters to the point that its a raffle. Its created multiple layers of inconsistency and uncertainty. If they paid it every time, fine. They don't, its a raffle.
Just one example of the confusion, when does taking on the tackler (theoretically HTB) finish and just bracing for an incoming tackle (theoretically a ball-up) start? Its a rhetorical question, there may be an theoretical answer, but the reality is nobody knows.