Bit nervous about this one now, having seen the teams.
Carlton av age 25.56
Richmond av age 24.40
Given 25.56 was also the average age of Carlton's team in 54 matches under Malthouse, this is nobody's idea of a rebuild. They've picked a team to win. Bolton's pulling a Wallace 2005.
In the last five years, teams under 24.5 giving away 1+ years' experience per player to the opposition have won only 19% of their matches. I still think we can win this one, but we'll be flat out doing it.
For the pessimistic among you, I'd suggest the $4.75 about Carlton is not a bad bet at all.