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2024 Draft Thread
- Thread starter Mr T.
- Start date
I can see us landing Jagga/FOS/Lalor/Reid/Berry/Lindsay with our first 6 picks......
I've already been saying the same thing ( but nowhere near as eloquently ) for the last few days Dyer'ere, yet some posters wonder why I'm having a whinge.
Doesn't answer the question I posted that you just replied too though. What does Twomey think we're giving up to obtain Brisvegas's first pick. His draft speculation shows us still retaining all of our later picks along with the pick 14 from Brissie. Simply doesn't compute, even without the benefit of AI.
The history of these story of trades tells us we will give the Lions a few hundred more points than they give us back.
But we don't need points so they are irrelevant to us. We will happily give up 4 or 5 picks in the 30s, 40s and 50s for a top 15 pick.
Giving up all those picks of ours would get us Brisvegas first pick this year and next, so there's already a flip into next years draft.
But this on it's own would be a completely pointless swap for Brisvegas as it would leave them in exactly the same position as they are right now. Not anywhere near enough points to match a bid for Ashcroft and hanging by their balls if they also want to consider that Marshall academy kid for a bit later in the draft.
While we have fun working out who is going at pick 1, the first big twist in this draft could happen as early as pick 2.
There are real concerns about the lad Trainor and his history of head knocks. He seems an ideal fit for the Kangaroos, but what if they deem him too great of a risk?
Do they go the next-best player ... or do they split the pick knowing they can probably get a quality tall deeper into the draft? Could it even be that Trainor now drops like a stone, with North a chance to get him much later than expected?
The whole top end of the draft hinges on the risk-reward assessment of Trainor by North.
If I were North, I'd be getting the hell out of pick 2.
There are real concerns about the lad Trainor and his history of head knocks. He seems an ideal fit for the Kangaroos, but what if they deem him too great of a risk?
Do they go the next-best player ... or do they split the pick knowing they can probably get a quality tall deeper into the draft? Could it even be that Trainor now drops like a stone, with North a chance to get him much later than expected?
The whole top end of the draft hinges on the risk-reward assessment of Trainor by North.
If I were North, I'd be getting the hell out of pick 2.
The concerns on Trainor are more than real and far more serious than is being let on. As it stands I would say he’s more likely to be medically retired than playing 50 games.
Watching SA v WA again.
Still impressed with Urquart...will be a great late pick mid. Very balanced and skilled. Could be anything. Keen to get him with a 20s pick. Great value.
Draper of course excellent.
Gerreyn reads the play well..worth a later pick on a ruck forward.
Allen great. Curtin of WA a solid key back...looks very good.
There is plenty there.
M Champion a dynamic small forward.
Smart of SA will be very solid..a high pick next year.
Still impressed with Urquart...will be a great late pick mid. Very balanced and skilled. Could be anything. Keen to get him with a 20s pick. Great value.
Draper of course excellent.
Gerreyn reads the play well..worth a later pick on a ruck forward.
Allen great. Curtin of WA a solid key back...looks very good.
There is plenty there.
M Champion a dynamic small forward.
Smart of SA will be very solid..a high pick next year.
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Personally think you are better off trading into key forwards once they show a bit. Like ruckman.
Unless there is a standout star. Do not think this year has a standout star.
How the hell do you work that out Harry?
I was commenting on JR82's suggestion that the closest he could work out to equal points value was for us to trade the value of picks 39 - 41- 50 = 1131 points for Brisveags pick 14 which was valued at 1161 points. Firstly Brisvegas would be dropping 30 points value on the deal and secondly they still need at least 2000 points to get Ashcroft if we don't bid at 1. They only carry about 300 points worth of value without the pick 14 so the proposed pick swap would still leave them well short of what they need at around 1450 points.
It’s a deep draft, if we give them enough points for the pick and don’t bid at 1, they get a pick back in the 30’s.
Worth doing for everyone.
Given that knowledge, Ghost, what would you do with pick 2 if you were in North's shoes?
Alright. I've watched more highlights vids than Greg Miller. This is my view on the earlier picks.
At 1 I'm taking FOS over Jagga. I've been toying with this for a while. Love Jagga's volume but I reckon FOS, off a lower base, presents a better proposition ( medical advice aside).
If we get 3 I'm going Jagga there. If Jagga goes at 2 I'm going Draper.
Who knows where we land next but I'm not going Langford in top 10. He looks slow and underskilled to me. He's also a bigger guy that I think struggles to break tackles at U18 level let alone against bigger bodies at AFL level.
Next I'd be going Lalor if he's available. Not sure if he's Dusty but he's that mould and is an amazing combo with FOS and Jagga. His recent injury may help us. Subject to medical advice those are my 3 preferred options and if we can swing 1, 3 and 9 or 10 it may be on the table.
At 1 I'm taking FOS over Jagga. I've been toying with this for a while. Love Jagga's volume but I reckon FOS, off a lower base, presents a better proposition ( medical advice aside).
If we get 3 I'm going Jagga there. If Jagga goes at 2 I'm going Draper.
Who knows where we land next but I'm not going Langford in top 10. He looks slow and underskilled to me. He's also a bigger guy that I think struggles to break tackles at U18 level let alone against bigger bodies at AFL level.
Next I'd be going Lalor if he's available. Not sure if he's Dusty but he's that mould and is an amazing combo with FOS and Jagga. His recent injury may help us. Subject to medical advice those are my 3 preferred options and if we can swing 1, 3 and 9 or 10 it may be on the table.
