Hate to break it to ya G&T.
There will be busts in the first round, probably multiple one's in the top 10. For various reasons, every year has them:
If we go to 2019 (which is even time to call it) and just top 10:
2019: - Dylan Stephens, McAsey
2018 - Thomas, Jones
2017 - Dow, Stephenson, Coffield
2016 - Setterfield, Petrevski-Seton, Brodie
2015 - Schache, Francis, Weidemann
2014 - Pickett, Ahern, Cockatoo
2013 - Scharenberg, Freeman (both unlucky with injury)
2012 - O'Rourke, Toumpas,
2011 - Buntine, Longer, Sumner.
2024 will be the first draft ever if all the top 10 end up having good career's. We "just" need to pick and develop right.