I highlighted the picks other clubs took, because it's an indication of where his head would have been at. Are we looking at a good draft with high value picks likely at our estimated position or not? It's a risk taking crystal ball approach, but you need to work out whether the immediate trade off will be likely better than the long term trade off. Of course we might have taken others, I said we might have taken Caddy, who knows to acknowledge that.
But if we're trying to gauge the thought process behind the strategic, the strategy wasn’t flawed. Generally weak drafts, which we were expecting to be at the back end of. It failed, but you've got to swing hard if you want home runs. No pointing trying to bunt a home run.
We allowed ourselves that by taking a larger amount of high end picks in 2021. That's Blair giving an eye to the future not just the now.
People in this thread (not necessarily you) are basically sayi g the guy is hopeless, had little say in our dynasty list build (bunkum), and basically his head should be on the chopping block because he gave up an extra pick in a trade early in trade week. It's borderline irrational, hysteria.
Watch what happens when if we do trade Rioli and Bolton. Prediction: He won't have gotten enough and been screwed over. (Expecting all trades to all go our way with no compromises is minimum expectation around here by many).
And if we keep them because we were getting screwed, he'll have killed our big rebound by failing to find a trade and kept players who wanted to leave.
It's like watching a car crash in slow motion.
Long reply so I’ll answer what I referred to.
I know some have doubted Harley’s worth. But I’m not one, I’ve acknowledged his contribution to our premiership years.
It wasn’t just him as we know, but he was part of a team. Some of the key premiership players were already on our list before he arrived, as I posted. But he still contributed. Back then he had a different role and title.
Since then though,has he replicated or improved our list? He was aware that Astbury, Edwards, Rance, Edwards, Cotchin , Riewoldt, Grimes, Martin were among those coming towards the end of their career.
Now I know he could never replace like for like with the draft hands he was presented with. But as I said, between he and Clarke and their decisions haven’t left us in a very good position.
If people want to argue that fact, good on them. But the fact remains we are where we are. We’re far worse off than we were 3 years ago and heading for another low finish. Could they have drafted better when we had all those picks before 30? Possibly.
But I will reiterate the point I was making again.
In return for pick 20 I believe we overpaid. An extra nearly 800 points. By including our pick 32, when nearly the same points could have been garnered by using our latter picks and us keeping pick 32.
That is it in a nutshell. Use pick 32 or the other later picks and get rid of them.
Can people try to understand that concept? Without adding all the rest of Blair’s past history into it.
Unless those latter picks are earmarked for another deal or the overly generous pick swap with Brisbane is a sweetener for something else involving Brisbane, I believe it’s a waste. My opinion.
So if anyone wants to argue that point, fine. But leave out Blair’s past history, what picks other clubs made and all the rest of it.
I believe we overpaid that deal if we haven’t got something else in mind. Otherwise those later picks will be watered down or worthless.
You can’t then tell me the whole strategy of stockpiling all those picks was to get one pick that will probably blow out to pick 24 or 25.
Because that would be a pile of *smile*.
But let’s see it through to the end before we can actually judge the pick trading. Something I stated in my original post.