Talking Politics | PUNT ROAD END | Richmond Tigers Forum
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Talking Politics

Tiger74 said:
Agree Evo, my call is this is going to come down to the bell on the day of the election.

Its easy to say "kick Johnny out" in a poll, its another to vote against him for the first time in 11 years.

People tend to be creatures of habit, and changing such routinue beliefs and support is not easy.
Yes,this is the Labor 'soft' vote alot of the pollsters talk about.I don't think Labor will lose failing any further stuff up,but this election will be pretty close.

For Labor to maintain their lead they shouldn't have rushed out their reply tax policy, as it it's turned out it gives their detractors way too much evidence of further 'me-tooism.' It's weak and ill conceived.

The Liberals need some sort of shock to get them over the line, though.A stock market crash,Bali bombing type event.
 
evo said:
Yes,this is the Labor 'soft' vote alot of the pollsters talk about.I don't think Labor will lose failing any further stuff up,but this election will be pretty close.

For Labor to maintain their lead they shouldn't have rushed out their reply tax policy, as it it's turned out it gives their detractors way too much evidence of further 'me-tooism.' It's weak and ill conceived.

The Liberals need some sort of shock to get them over the line, though.A stock market crash,Bali bombing type event.

Agree again, was quite surprised when I heard the tax plan had been released already. I thought they would have waited until week 3-4.
 
Don't follow all this charting stuff but on Betfair the libs got out to over $4.00 and are now back into $2.50. So some smart punting would have allowed a tidy all green result.
 
Tiger74 said:
evo said:
Yes,this is the Labor 'soft' vote alot of the pollsters talk about.I don't think Labor will lose failing any further stuff up,but this election will be pretty close.

For Labor to maintain their lead they shouldn't have rushed out their reply tax policy, as it it's turned out it gives their detractors way too much evidence of further 'me-tooism.' It's weak and ill conceived.

The Liberals need some sort of shock to get them over the line, though.A stock market crash,Bali bombing type event.

Agree again, was quite surprised when I heard the tax plan had been released already. I thought they would have waited until week 3-4.

Rudd's releasing of his Tax Policy now prevents Howard from sprooking on Sunday Nights debate that he has a policy and Rudd does not. Make no mistake - Sunday Nights Debate is crucial - Rudd wins it (and barring any other mishaps) and he goes a long way to getting close to the 15 seat swing he needs - Howard wins it and Howards momentum will hold Rudd out on 24 November.

Hence the Tax Policy release - Rudd now has Howard looking for other issues on Sunday night - such as the 70% Union front bench and interest rates etc.etc. - Whilst Rudd has IR and interest rates and broadband and health and education. Strategically clever - Tactically we will see tomorrow night.

BTW Rudd marrying his tax cuts to education and broadband was from the right field and the Libs did not see that coming - this Rudd is politcally astute - Johnny finally has a real fight on his hands.....no Labor gaffs and Johnny is going to need every seat in his current large majority to hold Rudd out.
 
evo said:
Tiger74 said:
Agree Evo, my call is this is going to come down to the bell on the day of the election.
Its easy to say "kick Johnny out" in a poll, its another to vote against him for the first time in 11 years.
People tend to be creatures of habit, and changing such routinue beliefs and support is not easy.
Yes,this is the Labor 'soft' vote alot of the pollsters talk about.I don't think Labor will lose failing any further stuff up,but this election will be pretty close.
For Labor to maintain their lead they shouldn't have rushed out their reply tax policy, as it it's turned out it gives their detractors way too much evidence of further 'me-tooism.' It's weak and ill conceived.
The Liberals need some sort of shock to get them over the line, though.A stock market crash,Bali bombing type event.

I think you are all understating the ALP's chances.
A "tall order" and all this other rubbish....as I think Rudd will win quite comfortably.

Like I have stated, I will be voting Libs as I think all this 'kevin07' and "taking Australia into a new direction' is a load of crap, considering if its such a new direction, why is he agreeing with pretty much the majority of the Government's initiatives and polcies? Or is The Echo just playing a deceitful game until he gets into office, then we'll see the 'true' "new direction" he is promising Australians?

While many people talk about this debate as important, people need to remind themselves that Howard has lost the last 2 debates to Beazley (and even to Latham! :eek:), yet won these elections, so I wouldn't put as much credence into the debate result as who will win the election, or even how close it will be.

People may be creatures of habit, but they are also curious as to what alternatives are out there...whether it be a restaurant, a job, or a holiday destaination......people may have found a top restaurant, but even if their prices are good, their service good, and food great...people still eat at different places because they want to experience something new.....a CHANGE.

It is only from experiencing change that people also realise what they have missed.....and I'm tipping not long into The Echo's role as Prime Minister, many people will be regretting that curiosity of whether Rudd would be a better PM, and the ALP a better government...or not.

All I will say to that, is you voted him in, then you get what you deserve......as I certainly won't be voting for him.

PS:
Note the strikes from nurses and fire-brigade over the last couple of weeks.....this from a ALP State Government.
Get used to this feeling if Rudd gets in and the unions are back in the game.
 
i thought you would support these stopworks, Livers. good old Aussie workers not backing off, standing up to the Govt for a fairer deal?
 
Blaming the states for strikes is only half the story. As you are no doubt well aware, the states are primarily funded by the federal government, who collect the bulk of the taxes in this country. If the federal government refuses to properly fund the states, then you can't blame the state government for inadequate funding of public services.

1eyedtiger said:
The real issue in my mind is how the government came to have $34 billion in the first place to hand back as tax cuts.

If the federal government properly funds the states and the states still fail to provide adequate services, then you can blame the states.

IMO the solution is to abolish either the federal government or the state governments. This would make the remaining government more accountable for it's actions. This is why it will never happen.
 
Liverpool said:
Note the strikes from nurses and fire-brigade over the last couple of weeks.....this from a ALP State Government.
Get used to this feeling if Rudd gets in and the unions are back in the game.

And what about Johhny not handing over the funding to the states?

Bingo 1eyed...just saw your post as I pressed post.
 
I'm all for abolishing state governments and extending the powers of the local and fed govts. We are hopelessly overgoverned for a country our size.
 
Liverpool said:
All I will say to that, is you voted him in, then you get what you deserve......as I certainly won't be voting for him.

How would anyone know what they're getting if they vote Johnny Bonsai in? He's only there because he didn't have faith that Elvis could lead the party to victory and he's admitted he'll be stepping down sooner rather than later and won't be there for the next election. Nobody knows Costello's policies and how he plans to run the country so to me voting for Johnny is a vote for the unknown.

I haven't decided if I'll vote or not this year but I have decided I won't be voting Liberal...if you say you get what you deserve I'm protesting the way they deserve because of their disregard of the working class. I'd never vote for someone who gave us the GST and makes me do dreaded the dreaded BAS each month and the Industrial Relations laws are out of touch with the every day person. Action might have been needed but Johnny has it horribly wrong.

Livers I have a question. You seem very biased in your political views. You post to build one party up and bring another down. Would you ever admit to any common ground being a good thing?

You make it sound like Rudd agrees with everything Johnny says but that's not the case at all. I don't see why you keep bagging him for agreeing with some of the Libs actions. To me that's natural, I can see good and bad on both sides and Kevin Rudd being willing to publicly reinforce some things Johnny has said and done is refreshing and a welcome change from Kim Beazly bagging everything the Gov did just because they were an opposition party.

Did you notice the tables turn a bit last night and Johnny wasn't beyond agreeing with Kev? ;)
 
rosy23 said:
How would anyone know what they're getting if they vote Johnny Bonsai in? He's only there because he didn't have faith that Elvis could lead the party to victory and he's admitted he'll be stepping down sooner rather than later and won't be there for the next election. Nobody knows Costello's policies and how he plans to run the country so to me voting for Johnny is a vote for the unknown.

Did it stop you voting for the ALP when Bracks/Thwaites pulled the pin so soon after being re-elected?
Or Beattie up in Queensland?
We now have Brumby as our Premier after the Victorian people voted for Bracks and HIS policies/style, yet we have gone into the unknown with Brumby now running the show.
The difference between Howard bailing out, and Bracks/Beattie bailing out, is that Howard has openly told everyone what he plans to do. I didn't hear such declarations from the two ALP state premiers before their respective elections.

rosy23 said:
I haven't decided if I'll vote or not this year but I have decided I won't be voting Liberal...if you say you get what you deserve I'm protesting the way they deserve because of their disregard of the working class. I'd never vote for someone who gave us the GST and makes me do dreaded the dreaded BAS each month and the Industrial Relations laws are out of touch with the every day person. Action might have been needed but Johnny has it horribly wrong.

You've used the GST as a reason for not voting for the Libs...we've touched on this before:

Rudd in 1999:
When the GST came up for a vote back in 1999, Rudd rose to tell us: “When the history of this parliament, this nation and this century is written, June 30, 1999, will be recorded as a day of fundamental injustice ... the day when the social compact that has governed this nation for the last 100 years was torn up.” The only GST injustice we hear about these days is when states wail about not getting enough of the pie.

http://blogs.theaustralian.news.com.au/janetalbrechtsen/index.php/theaustralian/comments/pms_success_has_paved_the_way_for_kevin_rudd/

Yet, is Rudd rectifying this great injustice by announcing that he will rid this country of the GST once he is elected?
No...of course not....now he is saying this:

The federal Opposition Leader, Kevin Rudd, has comprehensively ruled out any increase to the GST under a Labor government.

http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2007/03/30/1885574.htm

Oh....so now he is downplaying his initial outcry over the GST. ::)

Also, while contemplating your vote about the issue of the GST, remember this:

Tax reform, especially the introduction of a goods and services tax, is the issue currently straining the credibility of our political leaders.
Both sides of politics have been in favour of it. At least substantial sections of it. Keating was in favour of it for a long time. Kim Beazley was once in favour of it. I think it's hard to know who is genuine in their beliefs now. I think John Howard is genuine in his belief that it is a good thing.
John Howard was first to moot a GST while treasurer in the Fraser Government, but it was Labor that placed it firmly on the national agenda. At the tax summit in 1985 the then treasurer, Paul Keating, supported by Kim Beazley and Gareth Evans, ran hard on a consumption tax.
But Bob Hawke scuttled the idea and it remained on a shelf until opposition leader John Hewson led the coalition into the 1993 election campaign.
Surprisingly, Paul Keating, once the champion of the GST, now decried it.
But then Howard won the ‘96 election. Rather than "never ever" being part of a coalition platform, the GST is now its central plank. And its greatest advocates from the ‘80s still predict it will be a disaster. Who to believe? And is there some way we can stop the lies?


http://sunday.ninemsn.com.au/sunday/cover_stories/transcript_259.asp

Whether Howard gets back in, or Rudd wins the election is inconsequential regarding the GST, as it is here to stay, and there is no way the ALP are going to get rid of one of the great cash cows the government have.

rosy23 said:
Livers I have a question. You seem very biased in your political views. You post to build one party up and bring another down. Would you ever admit to any common ground being a good thing?

I wouldn't use the word "biased" because I am open and honest with who I am voting for....unlike posters who sit on the fence, or others who don't have the balls to declare who they are voting for but still give a backhander on here to the party they are NOT going to vote for. ;)

Common ground is good if it is fair dinkum and sincere.

rosy23 said:
You make it sound like Rudd agrees with everything Johnny says but that's not the case at all. I don't see why you keep bagging him for agreeing with some of the Libs actions. To me that's natural, I can see good and bad on both sides and Kevin Rudd being willing to publicly reinforce some things Johnny has said and done is refreshing and a welcome change from Kim Beazly bagging everything the Gov did just because they were an opposition party.
Did you notice the tables turn a bit last night and Johnny wasn't beyond agreeing with Kev? ;)

Some of the Libs actions? :rofl
We have seen with immigration, tax reforms, Aboriginal affairs...the list goes on and on.
Did you see Mark Knight's cartoon (on Saturday I think)...."Me too"....and so it isn't just myself sprouting on this forum about Rudd agreeing with much of the Government's policies and initiatives as you are suggesting....but it is widely known by the public that Rudd is The Echo...or "me too".
While you asked the question that we won't know what we're going to get once Howard retires and Costello takes over, and his policies and style....then I ask the same question to you:
Is Kevin Rudd going to continue with the same policies and initiatives that the Government have and are introducing, as he keeps stating to the media and to the public? or are we going to see backflip after backflip once he gets into power?
A perfect example of this was when McClelland spoke about the ALP policy on the death penalty and what they were going to do....did Rudd support this minister and the ALP policy?
No...he took him aside for 'counselling' and then agreed with what Howard was doing.
So it remains....once elected, would Rudd still agree with Howard and the Government's stance on the death penalty? or would he then, and only then, support the true ALP policy?
And if the ALP policy is so great and of benefit to Australia and Australians....then why doesn't he openly show the true ALP policies on a range of issues, instead of just agreeing with Howard until the election is over?

To me, there is a difference between 'sincere agreeance' and 'insincere agreeance', and due to the number of polcies and initiatives that Rudd is agreeing upon, I would class him in the latter.
 
I don't read your endless quotes sorry Livers.  My reading time on here is limited and I prefer to read personal views rather than those of others who have the power to word an article to suit their own agenda.

I'll read the rest later but in response to your first question I don't recall who I voted for in the Vic election you mentioned. I judge things on their merits at the time rather than steadfastly stick to one party or the other. I'm more a National girl actually. I certainly didn't vote in the Beattie election in Queensland. Strange question.
 
Livers, people vote for a local candidate and the party which forms the government has the majoirty. The govt then elects its premier or pm or whatever.

We all know that. The party always elects its leader once in govt.

We vote for local candidates.
 
Six Pack said:
Livers, people vote for a local candidate and the party which forms the government has the majoirty. The govt then elects its premier or pm or whatever.
We all know that. The party always elects its leader once in govt.
We vote for local candidates.

I'll ask you a simple question SixPack:

What party are you going to vote for in the election?
 
Crikey, I thought we'd already worked this out. I'll be voting for the local Greens candidate.
 
Six Pack said:
Crikey, I thought we'd already worked this out. I'll be voting for the local Greens candidate.

Fair enough, i reckon.I don't agree with Bob Brown on most things but at least you know where you stand with him.I won't be voting for his party personally but I can see why people would.

I was going to vote for Labor for the first time ever in this election but they proven to have very little substance and continually sought to remain a small target.

For years they've complained vehemently against privatisation,workchoices,GST,our presence in Iraq etc. yet given ample opportunity this year have exhibited no intention to change these things if they win the election.

Donkey vote for me in the lower house,and find independents who best match my views in the upper.
 
Tigers of Old said:
Oh dear Kevin.. :vomit

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_ipvdBnU8F8

It might have tasted good, when I was in the US recently they had Harry Potter jelly beans based on the ones in the movies with flavours like Soap, Sardines, vomit, booga and earwax for example, perhap Kevin is a taste tester.