The way JAckson has used our first pick when compared to Miller, and before him Beck has been stark. From what I've noticed watching the juniors if you don;t have one of the first 3 or 4 picks it is very important to go the 'solid citizen' type. When you have a really early pick, by all means go Cotch, Gibbs, Nattanui - but if you are in the 7-15 range much better to make the safe bet that might not be a sueperstar but will almost certainly give you 10 years good service.
These players are usually not that hard to spot at the championships. Theyre often the captain, or play centre and end up getting 25 odd possessions, but without being super eye catching. I remember really distinctly the 2005 draft. After the first 4 or 5 picks you could tell the really highlight reel types had all gone. We had pick 8 and the saf ebets were obvious in Nathan Jones and Hurn. Instead Miller tried to be clever and the rest is history.
Jackson has done the opposite with the 7-15 range picks. He's gone with solid ballwinners and sold leader types. Vlas, Conca and Ellis should all serve us well for years. THe lesson from the Geelong dynasty has been that you need a good half dozen of these types in any premiership team. If one of the turns out to be a Voss/ Riccuito thats a bonus. Don't wanna jinx it but that is how good Rasputin is looking like shaping up as at this very ealry stage.