I have been pretty active in examining Clarke's record. But "significantly worse picks"? In 2016-18, yes. But in 2019-2021 they had significantly better picks.
Draft picks 2016-21:
Hawks: 6, 7, 13, 23, 26, 29, 29, 35, 45, 46, 52, 67, 74, 76 (also traded out picks 7, 23, 26, 36 for O'Meara, 14 for Mitchell, 18 for Wingard, 34 for Impey - I wouldn't be praising their "Blair")
Tiges: 9, 17, (17), 20, (20), 21, 25, 28, 29, 29, 30, 34, 40, 43, 53, 54, 58, 62, 63, 72 The two 17/20s are because we got our money back for Higgins and CJ. I've criticised the picks but although it says we used two pick 17s the effect is we just shifted our one pick 17 from 2017 to 2021 and got Brown instead of Higgins. We did the same with our pick 20 (CJ), moved it to the 2022 draft.
That's pretty close, certainly not significantly worse either way. If anything, it favours them. They would have had way better picks than us if they didn't trade them out.
Outdrafted us? They did well with some late picks but you're not swapping Balta for Lewis or Shai for Moore. Shai and Noah with 29 and 25 are easily the best value drafting from either side in that time. Will their two top-10 picks G-Barrass and Ward be as good? I highly doubt it. Sonsie at 28 is every chance to be as good as Ward at 7 - granted Butler and MacDonald at 23/26 might match Sonsie - it's too early to tell, as it is for Downie (1 game), Mitchell (0), Brockman (11) and others.
Dow and Maginness were taken 8 spots apart in 2019. Maginness was touted as a big clearance mid but is averaging 11 disposals and has one clearance from three games this year - Dow is averaging 18.5 and 6 clearances in his two games. But it's too early to judge them too.
Day at 13 and Brown at 17 are very similar types. We were said to be keen on Day, from memory.
Will be keen to revisit in 2-3 years.
Great job.
Totally agree on Bolton and Balta, they’re yet to draft 2 players as good as that.
I’d add that DGB, hasn’t looked as promising as Gibcus and was picked higher. Admittedly tiny sample size.
Finally, I’d rapt if Brown is as good as Day, who is a cracking prospect.