Coronavirus | PUNT ROAD END | Richmond Tigers Forum
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Coronavirus

Under the early draft plan reported by the Herald Sun

Quality jernalism that.:oops:

Unfortunately The Age is going the same way as the Herald Sun. More catchy headlines designed to get clicks than meaningful content. Australian media is in a sad state of affairs.
 
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113 new cases and 15 deaths in Victoria today. Disappointing numbers. Really don't know WTF is going on. We've been in stage 4 lockdown for 4 weeks but still getting around 100 new cases every day. WTF? We're all locked in our houses and infection numbers are still way higher than they should be. Obviously there are still way too many people not doing the right thing.

No way this lockdown ends September 13; not a hope in hell. This is *smile*.
 
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113 new cases and 15 deaths in Victoria today. Disappointing numbers. Really don't know WTF is going on. We've been in stage 4 lockdown for 4 weeks but still getting around 100 new cases every day. WTF?

4 weeks ago we were getting numbers of 600-700. Don't really know why you're freaking out because we had a slight jump on yesterday?
The 7 day average is what's important, not the day to day figure.
 
4 weeks ago we were getting numbers of 600-700. Don't really know why you're freaking out because we had a slight jump on yesterday?
The 7 day average is what's important, not the day to day figure.
Yeah true but the past 2 days have seen consecutive increases. Obviously the numbers are better than they were 4 weeks ago but isn't that to be expected when we are in stage 4 lockdown and confined to our homes? Community transmission is way too high in a lockdown scenario. NZ had 4 weeks of lockdown and had virtually zero community transmission when it ended.

It does concern me that community transmission is still so high when we are lockdown. Should be much lower than it is by now. Obviously still too many people not abiding by the regulations. Though it would be interesting to know how much of the community transmission is attributable to health care workers and aged care.
 
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4 weeks ago we were getting numbers of 600-700. Don't really know why you're freaking out because we had a slight jump on yesterday?
The 7 day average is what's important, not the day to day figure.
A slight jump? 70 to a 133 is nearly double. (90%)
 
4 weeks ago we were getting numbers of 600-700. Don't really know why you're freaking out because we had a slight jump on yesterday?
The 7 day average is what's important, not the day to day figure.

The 7 day average will flatten and even peak up a bit with a number above 100. Hopefully its just a blip, but I'll be interested to see the positive test rate today. For me thats the issue right now, it has declined from being above 1-2% but still way above other states.
 
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It matters more where the new cases are and how many are not traceable. Hopefully most are associated with existing cases.

I will be surprised if they reduce restrictions to coincide with school holidays. They cannot take the risk of mass movements and gatherings of people at that time. It's gonna be a difficult time right through to christmas and that's gonna be a massive challenge too.
 
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The 7 day average will flatten and even peak up a bit with a number above 100. Hopefully its just a blip, but I'll be interested to see the positive test rate today. For me thats the issue right now, it has declined from being above 1-2% but still way above other states.
Yeah the positive test rate and also the number of community transmission cases outside health care workers and aged care are important numbers.
 
Just forced myself to sit through that Alan Jones video. A load of melodramatic crap IMO. Reminds me of the bloke/s who made threats to Dylan Grimes online. I'm sure they were equally as surprised when the police came knocking.

What I'm unsure of is whether she actually paid for an ad, or just made a post. If she paid for an ad designed to reach as many people as possible to arrange some sort of protest of lockdown, or in protest of lockdown, or supporting Qanon or whatever conspiracy theory these fringe types are going with, then throw the book at her. Preggas or not.
 
The big question is what is an acceptable number before things return to 'normal'?
50? 20? 10? 0? Ever?
Probably need to see the sort of numbers that are current in NSW and QLD. The old normal will only happen if we get a vaccine.
 
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The 7 day average will flatten and even peak up a bit with a number above 100. Hopefully its just a blip, but I'll be interested to see the positive test rate today. For me thats the issue right now, it has declined from being above 1-2% but still way above other states.
Massive increase in test numbers today - 82,000+ according to covidlive.com.au
maybe an adjustment over a few days?

might affect your positive test rate numbers


1599093112357.png
 
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Massive increase in test numbers today - 82,000+ according to covidlive.com.au
maybe an adjustment over a few days?

might affect your positive test rate numbers


View attachment 10391

It certainly will, but deputy cmo has just said these were delayed reporting. Makes it difficult to trend as it will make it low low today but it will likely be a one off blip, as the lower test rate would be spread. Would mean that the last few days the positive test rate is overstated, but without a restatement per day (which they won't do) it makes it hard to see. I guess we could look at 5 and 7 day moving averages on positive test rates.
 
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