Thoroughbred racing | PUNT ROAD END | Richmond Tigers Forum
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Thoroughbred racing

Re: Thoroughbred Horse Racing [Merged]

Leysy Days said:
Yeah its hard to explain eh!

He's gunna run the horse over 2500 as a 3yo yet wont run him over 2000 with 6 or whatever it is kgs less.
All in a year where the Cox is at its lowest ebb known.

See he's putting blinkers on Mal, who's been putting himself in races but never finishing off. Zabeels with blinkers 1st time are notorious for finding lengths. You couldnt tip him with any conviction, but dint underestimate that gear change.

Yes, bizarre by Kavanagh. The 1.55 on offer in the AAMI Vase looks quite tempting.

Blinkers first time on Mal. Yes, I agree about Zabeels and blinkers. But when you are putting blinkers on first time on a 6yo, it smells of hope rather than design.
 
Re: Thoroughbred Horse Racing [Merged]

He isn't a horse that i have a big opinion of... but i think Maldivian is one of the major chances. Unlike every other runner (except Sirmione), he is a G1 WFA winner in Australia. His record at the track/distance is unblemished, he has been competitive at the very least in the major WFA lead ups this spring, and this is probably a step down in class to those due to the absence of Weekend Hussler and Pompeii Ruler. And his run in the Feehan was pretty good.

Just onto the speed in the race... I would've thought that from the wide gate Theseo would have no choice but to lead. And from the inside Zarita would be likely to possie on the leader's back.

Something like this:


Maldivian Alamosa
Theseo Zarita


But if Dunn decided to lead on Zarita at all cost, Maldivian could take the leader's back...
but in any case, it looks likeBig Mal's going to possie in a handy position.

Many average horse's have taken the sit on the leader's back and performed above expectations after enjoying incredibly cosy runs... Prett sure FoO won from there in 2003, Savabeel won from there in 2004, Lotteria ran 2nd to the champion mare in 2005, Aqua Damore in 2006 ran 4th and Miss Flopland (or whatever leysy calls her) ran 4th last year.

Zarita and Big Mal have the form around The Huss and Pompeii, and those blokes would be the horses to beat if they were running.
 
Re: Thoroughbred Horse Racing [Merged]

jb03 said:
You guys are being a bit hard on the internationals.

They have regularly run places (or won) at big odds and All the Good just won the Caulfield Cup at 50-1.

In recent years:
2007 Purple Moon 2nd, Mahler 3rd
2006 Delta Blues 1st, Pop Rock 2nd (note Makybe Diva got its arse kicked in Japan)
2004 Vinnie Roe 2nd
2003 Jardine's Lookout 3rd
2002 Beekeeper 3rd
2001 Give The Slip 2nd, Persian Punch 3rd
1999 Central Park 2nd
1998 Persian Punch 3rd

So in fact, the opposite argument to leaving them out of your trifectas is true and you should at least include them all for at least the places.

Re The Cox Plate: Clearly the worst field in recent memory. Where are those discretianary powers the club has. I seem to remember them leaving out a Caulfield Cup winner once.

I can't see a deserved winner there, WFA ranks must be cactus if Sirmione is the headliner.

No probs with the internationals, jb. Just take the Japanese horses out. Then the record absolutely stinks. Let's be plain here- we're talking about the soft British rubbish.

So you might say that *Forgotten Name* just blitzed the CC. Well, fair enough. The CC is the softest mile and a half in the world. Is it not proven categorically that 2400m credentials are a huge disadvantage? The poms, and the Irish (and only in horseracing would I link those nations) are too soft for the Melbourne Cup, the hardest mile and a half in the world, usually.

But it's a shocking year. And for mine, the poms (and Irish - go on get angry) are suited this year. Lucky for them there are no Japanese horses, eh? Or they'd get the wasabi up the clacker. And still be too slow.

Okay, The Huss may have beaten four home last start but he was lucky. Gone for the prep and no surprise. He'll win next year's Cox Plate by two as he would have done this year if prepared for it. Rubiton.

So wassup in the Soff Cox Plate? Sirmione has a few things in favour. He's clearly the best ten furlong galloper in the country when right - see Aust Cup. Don't make too many excuses for the beaten Princess Coup (*smile* NZers can't pronounce her name - viz Starrrrrrrring). So he can't handle the turns? Rubbish. Axion #1219 - there are two types of horses, Caulfield horses and good horses. Sirmione is not a Caulfield horse. When Bart aint got a horse he's a spud. Because it's always about the horse. If you can train. So why do you suppose Sirmione went round in the Feehan. And how was the run? At his next run- What's that? A failure at Caulfield? Bart. Dirty sneak. And what did he say about the Cox Plate? "I'm really looking forward to it."

You know in Socrates' day, there were hundreds of rival philosophers. It's a privilege to have lived in Bart's era. Let's not confuse him with Tommy Smith (Phorgottenon). Or other insignificant philosophers.

Damien Oliver was gone for many years after the most recent family death. Who can blame him for turning it up? And who hasn't noticed that he is in CBF? So here's the rider - he is the king of Moonee Valley. Could he have got another ride? Damn straight. Would you trade?

Fields of Omagh was a certainty the year King slaughtered him and was beaten by the historic mongrel Savabeel. FoO 14s. We all got plenty. But King was as soft as butter at the time and slaughtered his mount. Oliver is rock hard right now. So am I. Get some.

Princess Illiterate is the danger. If a country horse like Maldivian wins (third pick) kill yourself. Or hand me the gun and I'll do it for you. It's only right. Your life's not worth living.

The filly has to be considered. Shame the colt's not running. Maybe he's no good. If he is we can both shoot the trainer. Nuftibag. With persian rugs.

But I'm so confident about Sirmione that I'm prepared to use my jinxed PRE intro to the bet... Ahm tired from weeks of bustin' sods on this heeyar dirt farm. Ahm a reachin' under mah iron bed and Ahm takin' out that case, and a-openin' it. And Ahm dustin' off mah pearl handled six- guns.

And Ahm a stealin' a hoss and Ahm a-ridin' inta town.

Bang. Bang. Sirmione.
 
Re: Thoroughbred Horse Racing [Merged]

A lot of value tomorrow.

Going with Sirmione in the Cox Plate... agree with a lot of Dyer's hysterical (and for many, incoherent) rant. Best horse in the race. Yalumba failure was to be expected. Like Bart gives a sh!t about that race? The bloke is notorious for pulling horses. Sirmione will be on the job tomorrow. Will have something on Maldivian too (what is the world coming too? Maldivian FFS. In the Cox Plate.) The filly has to be considered, and I think the handy mare will have her work cut out for from last.

Will have something on Monet Rules in the sprint... G1 WFA placed at the course and drawn to get a soft run. His biggest downfall is that he is an on paced runner with no early speed, the draw (3) will enable him to be handy enough. 30-1.

Inclined to think that STC's Geelong Cup tip Largo Lad is the one in the MV Cup. Has a touch of class, gets in with the minimum and has a devastating sprint. Cefalu is in career best form and loves the valley (6 for 3-0-0). Will have a sentimental $2 on On a Jeune who is 2nd up at 2600m. WTF? Clearly had a setback, hasn't had much luck in his career. Poor bloke.

Will be backing Niconero. Overs. Classes better than that field, and is entitled to be very much in the market after not being suited in slowly run Sydney maggot affairs. Maybe I'll get 20s on the tote. Hope so. Sensational value.

Will back Miss Badoura and Soul Diva in the last. The former is a valley specialist (10 for 4-0-1) and is incredibly honest, and the latter has a touch of class and is a specialist at the mile (7 for 5-0-1) Both massive overs.

Will have Monet Rules, Sirmione, Niconero and Soul Diva/Miss Badoura all up to win a grandstand.

Good luck punters. Go the roughies.
 
Re: Thoroughbred Horse Racing [Merged]


I'm not surprised that you (wrongly) attributed hysteria to my post, Gyps, or that you didn't follow it. It was stream of consciousness, and by the time you were born consciousness had become a dribble.

As for me, I have no excuse for finding the whole mess totally unintelligible. I think I got the bit about Sirmione being a certainty. But who can be sure?
 
Re: Thoroughbred Horse Racing [Merged]

Good posting lads. Still maintain the Pommie/Irish horses haven't done as bad as everyone makes out. It is only because generally generally the highest rated or highest profile horse has failed.

Princess Coup seems the obvious to me is close to each way value. the form through the kiwis is very strong this year (Red Rules, Nom De Jeu etc).

Racing better in the Spring than the Autumn and Sirmione, despite the impassioned case made, is racing lengths below its best.
 
Re: Thoroughbred Horse Racing [Merged]

Hi RT

My bets for today are
r5 n2 Typhoon Zed $10 win
r4 n10 Millbank $10 win

look to be my favourites to punt on
was keen on Cefalu in the Cup today each way at value but see its been scratched

agree with everyone basicaly, worst cox plate in memory
Samantha Miss and Princess Coup in normal years would be around $10 chances.

leaning with Gypsy Jazz earlier thoughts and Simon Marshall in Zarita with value at $26, it may be a race to speck at as all runners have though a few ? marks to bet on.
Alamosa I think may also present some value.
I liked Sousa in the Sping stakes win in Sydney 3 weeks back, think it may be good value it mix the trifecta around for that to be first and beat Whobegotu in the Vase.

I also like
r1 n3 Alexander Beetle with the world best jock on board
r7n1 Newport
r9 n5 Conquering
r 10 n8 Marizza Princess
 
Re: Thoroughbred Horse Racing [Merged]

Ha Ha, quality work. Leysy thinks. :headscratch ;D

Leysy ken the ever reliable & flying at the moment Baughurst. He's been good to leysy & why jump off now the way he's racing.

Sea Battle is also flying at the moment, if he can get some cover from the gate is clearly the one to beat. Leysy'll be on.

On the plate, woeful field. princess coup has never raced at the track & only got over here on thursday. The rider also hasn't ridden here in how long & hasnt even got a warm-up ride to accustom to himself to the Valley. Leysy's wary of those things if backing at these odds.

Leysy'll be specking Zarita (gun run) & Master O'Reilly (who can ping) at the odds.

Typhoon Zed will be hard to beat in the sprint, but not sure yet. Agree with Gyps that Monet Rules is overs.

On the Poms, agree on the whole they have been dissapointing. One thing overlooked on here is how they have changed there tact. previously it was the Ascot Gold Cup (4k) plodders coming over. Now it is the lightly raced well handicapped 2400m horses that can sprint. Combine this with Aus's infatuation with breeding sprinters & the tide may turn. But it really is an impossibly tough race to line the form up.

Good luck all.
 
Re: Thoroughbred Horse Racing [Merged]

PRE Punters Club bets are on - both at IAS-Superprice

Great days racing - at a track that is different to the traditional tracks around Australia which is why it always throws up a few surprises.........RT
 
Re: Thoroughbred Horse Racing [Merged]

Leysy Days said:
On the Poms, agree on the whole they have been dissapointing. One thing overlooked on here is how they have changed there tact. previously it was the Ascot Gold Cup (4k) plodders coming over. Now it is the lightly raced well handicapped 2400m horses that can sprint. Combine this with Aus's infatuation with breeding sprinters & the tide may turn. But it really is an impossibly tough race to line the form up.
And Cumani in particular understands the importance of having a run here prior to the Mrlbourne Cup.

Maldivian exposed the rubbish in the Cox Plate. WTF is a Princess "Cope"? Zarita got the nice cuddle she needed from the gate and ran well. Good effort by the 3yo filly. Zipping should've won the Caulfield Cup.

2008 Cox Plate winner - Maldivian

Hilarious.
 
Re: Thoroughbred Horse Racing [Merged]

Watch the Cox Plate replay and check out the way Opie Bosson rides Princess Coup! Hopeless, shocking!
 
Re: Thoroughbred Horse Racing [Merged]

Well, if you want to put this Bosson character on, you get what you deserve. Much like what the connections of Miss Finland deserved after engaging Lisa Cropp to ride in the Cox Plate. Moonee Valley is such a unique track, you'd really want to be booking a local rider.
 
Re: Thoroughbred Horse Racing [Merged]

jb03 said:
Princess Coup seems the obvious to me is close to each way value. the form through the kiwis is very strong this year (Red Rules, Nom De Jeu etc).

JB finally comes out with a pre-race tip. & leysy did warn him on it.

Ah, well back to post race spruiking for jb it seems.

As for you Gyps, 10 lashes for throwing out that known big sulk Largo Lad. Madness.
Miss Badoura & Big Mal gets some lee way for you to be fair.

As for leysy a good day after plunging the form horse Sea Battle ( the form around his Sunburnt land race just gets stronger).

Could have been great after Taking Baughurst one out in the quaddie into 6 in the Cox (including Mal) into Sea Battle one out into the field for a full unit. So close to a big payout. All good for the spring none the less.
 
Re: Thoroughbred Horse Racing [Merged]

rosy23 said:
Had a shocker but you shooting him is a bit drastic. :eek:

Can't shoot him yet. Need him to win the Mackinnon.

Leysy Days said:
As for you Gyps, 10 lashes for throwing out that known big sulk Largo Lad. Madness.
Miss Badoura & Big Mal gets some lee way for you to be fair.

Good stuff today, Leysy.

I was a bit stiff with Monet Rules 4th and Soul Diva 5th beaten 5cm. Value galore.
 
Re: Thoroughbred Horse Racing [Merged]

Yep Gyps I reckon old Bart will have a trick or two up his sleeve yet.

Amazing finish to the last race with the dead heat for the win and dead heat for the placings. I don't think I've ever heard of that happening before.
 
Re: Thoroughbred Horse Racing [Merged]

My turn to bet in the syndicate yesterday. No good. Was going to have $20 on Maldivian as a personal bet on GJ's advice but got distracted by a very old lady who wanted a betting tutorial, and bloody didn't! As I was driving home, I'm in the country, I thought 'it'll win for sure now'. Got 3/4 of my stake back on Bird of Fire in the last, bettter than losing the lot I suppose
 
Re: Thoroughbred Horse Racing [Merged]

tigersnake said:
My turn to bet in the syndicate yesterday. No good. Was going to have $20 on Maldivian as a personal bet on GJ's advice but got distracted by a very old lady who wanted a betting tutorial, and bloody didn't! As I was driving home, I'm in the country, I thought 'it'll win for sure now'. Got 3/4 of my stake back on Bird of Fire in the last, bettter than losing the lot I suppose

Bad luck, brother. But as you said, at least you got 3/4s of your stake back... and had Bird of Fire not been held up on the turn, you would've had a handsome profit on the day.
 
Re: Thoroughbred Horse Racing [Merged]

Bombed out in the Cox Plate but a very good day for jb. Would have been even better if Princess Mariza had won the last but with that losing and after a dozen Boags, I ripped a quaddie at Ascot, the Meadows and Wentwoth Park and jagged them all.

Sea Battle was the main source but had income from Whobegotyou, Millbank and Gallopin who I was tipped into in the morning.

Probably the slowest run Cox Plate ever and I was warned that Opie only had one ride for the day and would be the cause of Princess Coup's downfall. Though no matter who rode it with that pace it wouldn't have won. Apart from Nikolic of all jockeys none showed any initiative so well done to Zipping to jag second.

Got some cash now for the 4 days of the carnival.
 
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