This article explains why my ears continue to bleed night after night about how "Albanese has rejected long term tax relief". Sure.
PM’s poll slide in Dunkley ‘drove tax U-turn’: Libs
Internal Liberal research shows the prime minister’s support had plummeted in the marginal seat of Dunkley, where voters go to a byelection on March 2.www.afr.com
Looks like the good people of Dunkley are not stupid enough to believe some of this crap peddled by the Libs. They are stating that Labor are against long term tax relief when all they did was reallocate it to a different segment of the electorate. They haven't stopped it.
Labor Ahead in Dunkley, Stage 3 Changes a Winner with Voters
Labor leads the Liberal Party 52% to 48% in the Dunkley two-party preferred vote ahead of the crucial March 2 byelection, according to new research from the Australia Institute.australiainstitute.org.au
I just worked out the impact to me. The tax relief changes are actually marginally negative to me (not by much) but I think they are the right thing for the country so I'm ok with them. I'm still much better off with them than if they were completely rejected so I'm happy and I'm happy that the changes will now benefit more people.
Looks like Dunkley agree.
No idea how much the Libs have spent on their marketing campaign in Dunkley, looking at the volume of TV ads its easily in the millions of $'s. I haven't tested it, but just going off what I see, I suspect their ads are 10-1 compared to Labors and they are still losing.
If Labor win by 4% as the Australia Institute article says then that is a huge win for Labor. The previous member had enough of a following to get some extra votes and this has generally been a marginal seat with the Libs often winning it. Anything less than a 4% swing to the Libs is a loss for them.
As for the notion that the Libs are somehow getting their primary vote back, yeah, dream on. Both major parties are in deep trouble on their primary votes. The overall primary vote for the major parties has dropped substantially over the years and it is very difficult to see a situation where it recovers.
The days of a major party winning 50% of the primary vote are long in the past and not coming back.
DS