Liverpool said:
While you seem happy with the stimulus package now and your business has had success with this very short-sighted view....what will happen in 6 months time when the stimulus is all gone (either spent by the 'spenders' or still under the mattress of the 'savers')?
What will happen when these people lose their job as all predictions point to a massive rise in unemployment?
What will your business do then??
The mirage of the stimulus package will be a distant memory and will be chastised as a waste of taxpayers money by an irresponsible government hell-bent on populist politics and not for the long-term future of this country.
And I'm afraid Remote...it is people like you who have fallen for this short-sighted illusion.
Livers - the stimulas money will keep going around and around in our economy - the revenue I get in my shops is in part used for Staff Wages and my other creditors who in turn pay their staff wages - my staff and their staff then go and buy from other businesses who pay their staff wages and other creditors from that revenue and so the cycle keeps going and going and going.
Further - if people pay off their debt now with the stimulas then the money they earn in future which had been ear-marked to pay off that debt becomes free to spend on something else or saved.
Personal saved money allows banks more funds to lend more money for businesses or mortgages which inturn employs more people and the cycle continues.
E.G. I am about to take a loan from the bank for my businesses to re-fit one of my shops - its a significant 6 figure sum of money - the project managment company the shop fitting company the plumbers and sparkies are all going to gain revenue from my project - they will pay wages and the flow of money cycle will commence again.
It is not a short sighted illusion - it will soften the fall of the retail sector through this financial crisis and hopefully carry it until the world economies turn the corner and begin to show growth.
Yes there will be more lay-offs - yes there will be more small businesses fold - yes the unemployment rate will increase (some are saying 7% others are saying 10% - either way it means there are 93% or 90% employed who will be contributing to the money cycle) Further - interest rates are at an all time low inflation has become deflation - these are hard times but we as a country have been through much harder and survived - remember the the early 60's and the late 80's interest rates extremely high, inflation surging and unemployment hitting double figures - yet we came out the other end of those economic nightmare tunnels better equiped to take on the rest of the world. And we will do it again.
I am trying to talk my wife into exploring another business opportunity - green industry - from what I am reading, seeing and hearing from very knowledgeable people this is the new growth sector of the early part of this century - there must be opportunities out there for clever investment - there must be opportunities out there for job re-direction. Workers will have to find new skills but that is nothing new either - history shows us the advent of the railways and the motor vehicle forced a skill change in the workforce many years ago - e.g.how many coopers do you personally know now? Yet in my fathers time they were ubiquitous.
Whilst change can cause pain it does also create opportunity - be light on your feet there is plenty of opportunity coming our way over the next decade or so until we retire.
Lets just hope the RFC powerbrokers can latch onto some of this opportunity and take us to a premiership..............