for clarity what I meant by boundary conditions in my previous post is what these odds are being compared against for the AMA to give their advice. And my view is that they are comparing against now and not against the future, but my disappointment is that this isn’t made clear.
Morrison's Gov is responsible for the mixed messaging. One minute AZ's only ok for over 50's, nek minute only over 60s, then everyone? Without any consultation with national cabinet, their CHO's or the AMA. This from a bloke who was front of the queue for Pfizer. The fish rots from the head.
Exactly we need pragmatism over politics.
I saw these numbers too and for plus 70 and 80 the rate was nearer 1.8 and 1.9 . Those numbers don't seem radically different to the young people's 3.1 to a layman like me.
It does get into utilitarian ethics / triage thinking.
Yeah Slomo and the feds have *smile* the vaccine rollout royally but the QLDers are being recalcitrant dickheads on this. Their CMO stating that the risk of an 18 year old dying from AZ blood clot is higher than dying from COVID infection is blatantly incorrect; that is coming from Dr. Coatsworth. She said they "probably won't die from COVID". Well they probably won't die from AZ vaccine either. What's the difference? Is she also going to recommend 18 year olds stop driving cars as well? Because they have a substantially increased chance of dying in a car accident in comparison to an AZ jab.
It was a disgraceful performance by her and the Premier. It was just creating unnecessary hysteria for the sake of politicking.
Agree (there has to be a more robust system ..edit in). I did read/heard we have had (rough) 370,000 people through the system with 26 breaches that 10 escaped into the public. That is pretty successful.
Yep, they've had plenty of time to realise HQ is not the answer and setup a longer term Q strategy. And failed. Zero leadership from scomo. To me its the single biggest failure. We only get the virus from OS, we had an opportunity to have a virus free country. Q was the most important issue and the feds appear to have not wanted a bar of it. No strategy. No leadership. It's a common theme with scomo. And clearly no strategy around vaccination. He should be embarrassed.
The problem with these stats is that they include everyone coming through the system - ie people without covid as well as with. The better metric to use is to only look at the number of breaches as a proportion of the number of people who had covid. That's a better measure of the risk from an academic viewpoint.
