If the first reaction at 3.30 of some people was to strip the shelves of toilet paper again just shows we are pushing up hill all the way.
I suppose there is certain element of luck but it is clearly not the major element. 7 out of 8 states and territories are in a very good position. One is a disaster by comparison. That’s hardly just bad luck. *smile* has gone drastically wrong in Victoria.A Profeesor interviewed on 730 tonight made good sense. And as has popped up in a lot of posts today, he was very definite that luck is a significant factor, in good and bad trends.
(Though his image had "Bruthen" underneath it, so I am guessing the learned gentleman was taking as much luck out of his personal risk factors by decamping to his holiday shack rather than remainimg at his post in Clayton, Bundoora or Parkville.)
So you're trying to say that this rapid increase of community transmission had nothing to do with eased restrictions? Nothing to do with large family groups gathering? Nothing to do with perceptions about the danger having passed?
I'm assuming you're also going to say then that going back into lockdown is a waste of time? Clearly, if it has no impact on transmission?
I think his point is that 1 state is in part attributable to luck. And some states who may have done something " wrong" might have been lucky that it didn't lead to an outbreak. Just conveying an experts view. We all have opinions but they can swamp our understanding.I suppose there is certain element of luck but it is clearly not the major element. 7 out of 8 states and territories are in a very good position. One is a disaster by comparison. That’s hardly just bad luck. *smile* has gone drastically wrong in Victoria.
Sage words ezy but I gotta tell you I am angry. *smile* angry .
As a country we all got behind the process to contain this virus and we just about had it licked. I was very pleased with how our federal and state governments all responded. The National Cabinet was a great success. Sure there were some major issues particularly in NSW with Ruby Princess and Newmarch House and they can not be forgotten. I've never been a huge fan of Dan Andrews (don't dislike him either) but I thought his initial leadership was generally first rate.
But I am really angry about the hotel quarantine disgrace (Vic Govt wears this) and for the selfish people that blatantly ignored advice and spread the virus like wildfire throughout the northern and western suburbs because they couldn't stay away from mass family gatherings. One woman who was interviewed even said "Oh, we thought it was over!" *smile* off that is just *smile*!
I feel for the vast majority of people in this great state; I really do. But now I need to take a deep breath and acknowledge that there are so many people worse off than I am. Those innocent people who have done the right thing and have still been severely impacted, whether it be physically, mentally or financially, by the spread of this virus through no fault of their own. These silent victims are the ones that I'm thinking of. Wishing them all the very best.
I think his point is that 1 state is in part attributable to luck. And some states who may have done something " wrong" might have been lucky that it didn't lead to an outbreak. Just conveying an experts view. We all have opinions but they can swamp our understanding.
Good on you mate look after her. It must be very hard for older people on their own.Agree too ridley, but not much i can do...
I will still go and check on my mum every day. Its my duty to her.
Why did Germany do so much better than France, UK Spain Italy? All G20 nations with educated populations and
I am guessing solid medical systems?
This is global pandemic we need to look everywhere for answers not just in a few Melbourne postcodes.
Good on you mate look after her. It must be very hard for older people on their own.
22nd if other states tested as much as Vic did would they have numbers like Victoria.....
It is bad, but we are at least at the point where locking down should control the spread and the numbers are low enough that we can try and contact trace.
Victoria is doing a whole lot better than most of the world, with effort now and a bit of luck (and no more f*** ups) we can turn this around.
I think the move to lock down Melbourne and one shire just North of us is the right move. The regions shouldn't suffer as the outbreak is mainly in Melbourne. However, that also begs the question as to why NSW is closing the border with Northern Victoria. Melbourne is the hot spot, no-one is allowed to leave Melbourne (was thinking about taking a long weekend to go down the coast, ain't happening now) so the border closure is a few hundred miles from where travel needs to be, and now is, being restricted.
DS
Thanks Lee.
We dont here how much the other states are doing, so much appreciated.
* Protest marches AT THAT TIME were selfish and wrong. It's not just the risk of contagion, but the message it sends about safety to mingle and lack of adherenceto social distancing. A family member has basically cut comms with me because of how strongly I feel about it. I don't trust the stats post the protest. Something smells fishy.
Other states are doing under 5K (Queensland) down to about 250 a day (NT). But they have very few positives to speak of - one here, maybe a couple over there - for a total of 37 between them since June 1. Sicktoria's had 500 since July 4.
You talk about supposition and then you use it yourselfSo much anger in this thread, and supposition.
* I don't trust the stats post the protest. Something smells fishy.