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easy_tiger
Guest
YinnarTiger said:
jeez. im gonna have me a chunk of that
Leysy Days said:
Theres a lot of colour to come out of this vein yet leysy. we need to dig deep and wide.
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AFL Betting Thread
- Thread starter palmyscum
- Start date
jeez. im gonna have me a chunk of that
Theres a lot of colour to come out of this vein yet leysy. we need to dig deep and wide.
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easy_tiger
Guest
tigersnake said:
great work on the multi-state sting snake :fing32
we're all over it like a rash of midgets
nice work Yinnar.
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easy_tiger
Guest
Ive been working like a borrowed horse on the farm the last few week, getting ready for footy season.
so I took a day off today and studied more form.
After looking from nearly every angle to work out how to profit from the Tiger dynasty, Ive identified the value bet of season 2018.
Tigers highest finishing Vic side @ $5. compared to the premiership @$8, this is more than twive the bet. Plus, it pays in August, allowing time for the bookies to shout your finals campaign.
to win the flag, we have to beat GWS, Sydney or Adelaide again. I think it will be GWS, but its not outrageous to suggest the others.
The highest finishing Vic side is after H&A.
I think its essentially a head to head bet Richmond V Geelong.
Consider this. Richmond dont play at kardinia OR sydney. This is essentially starting the season on 8 points.
we only leave melbourne 5 times for the year, and play on The G 14 times. I have us, very conservatively on 16 wins.
Cats draw looks tough. Ablett will break down by round 3. I have them on 10 wins.
Melbourne? just nuh. Essendon? stringer is not dusty, nuh. Saints? do they have any stars? Gresham is pushing his case maybe? 2 of these 3 will make up the bottom half of the 8.
So I suggest you take any moneys you may have at 4% if your shrewd, and take the 400% on this tigers term deposit.
so I took a day off today and studied more form.
After looking from nearly every angle to work out how to profit from the Tiger dynasty, Ive identified the value bet of season 2018.
Tigers highest finishing Vic side @ $5. compared to the premiership @$8, this is more than twive the bet. Plus, it pays in August, allowing time for the bookies to shout your finals campaign.
to win the flag, we have to beat GWS, Sydney or Adelaide again. I think it will be GWS, but its not outrageous to suggest the others.
The highest finishing Vic side is after H&A.
I think its essentially a head to head bet Richmond V Geelong.
Consider this. Richmond dont play at kardinia OR sydney. This is essentially starting the season on 8 points.
we only leave melbourne 5 times for the year, and play on The G 14 times. I have us, very conservatively on 16 wins.
Cats draw looks tough. Ablett will break down by round 3. I have them on 10 wins.
Melbourne? just nuh. Essendon? stringer is not dusty, nuh. Saints? do they have any stars? Gresham is pushing his case maybe? 2 of these 3 will make up the bottom half of the 8.
So I suggest you take any moneys you may have at 4% if your shrewd, and take the 400% on this tigers term deposit.
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easy_tiger
Guest
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easy_tiger
Guest
Bernie said:
Im glad you fellas see the opportunity. In light of this bet, taking $2.75 for top 4 would be akin to buying half a banana at the whole banana price.
But lets not lose sight, in this day of pop culture punting, that $5 is 4's, not 5;s as $4.50 is 7/2, not 9/2
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easy_tiger
Guest
tigerman said:
sportsbet nsw walk in cash, which is how I bet.
its the backstop bet of the season. That and Jack Graham RS @ $8 ($6 now :hihi)
Ubet qld etc, which is a p!ssweak blight on non-wowser humanity, has the bet at $4.50. But if you tried to get $20 on, sirens would go off and they'de wind it into $3.50 and accept $10
my big bro (bigger than snake) tried to take a multi JG for RS, Dusty for Brownlow, Tigers for flag. $30 to $10k.
Ubet refused the bet. He got them on the phone and they tried to explain that if graham and dusty won, tigers would almost certainly win the flag. :rofl
they have a point, but the *smile* should be legislated to take a bet.
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easy_tiger
Guest
champion data rank Daniel Menzel as elite :rofl
I think the bookies are using champion data stats on sides to formulate futures markets. seriously.
I think the bookies are using champion data stats on sides to formulate futures markets. seriously.
easy said:
I'd take that as almost certain.
In the late 90's, at Swinburne Uni, I needed advice to assist with an assignment. I was directed to Stephen Clarke in the Mathematics and Statistics Faculty. His PHD project & website provided predictions and recommendations of when to wager, and how much, based on the available odds, the betting bank, and his statistical analysis/prediction of the result. The results and performances were astounding. Unfortunately, as a student, I was too poor to follow. In the following years, access to the tips was restricted by paid membership, and then were not available, probably bought by Centrebet et al.
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easy_tiger
Guest
Born_a_Tiger78 said:
I bet Clarkey would have had Menzel in his chuck out pile.
sounds like you were too poor not to follow '78.
I've always preferred no money, and the shredded dreams of wealth, than not much money
I don't like backing #lolNorf, however at $11, for last team to win, I've done it. And Jack Graham to win the rising star. Who will beat him? And Richmond to win the VFL Premiership, a side that will still be quite strong. However, I was not allowed to include Richmond to be top of the AFL ladder after round 12.
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easy_tiger
Guest
Sportsbet.com are declining bets i attempt on richmond and then winding in the price. No *smile*
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easy_tiger
Guest
scottyturnerscurse said:
Richmond to beaT crows rd 2
Richmond top laDder rd 4
Richmond top ladder rd 8
easy said:
maybe it was because you typed in random capital letters? They thought you were David Walsh's blockchain algorithm drone betting thing or something?
