AFL Betting Thread

[scottyturnerscurse]

maybe it was because you typed in random capital letters? They thought you were David Walsh's blockchain algorithm drone betting thing or something?

:hihi

Anyway, better value at 365 and the cash-out function provides more diverse arbitrage opportunities.

Leader after round four:
Sportsbet $4
Bet365 $6

 

[easy_tiger]

maybe it was because you typed in random capital letters? They thought you were David Walsh's blockchain algorithm drone betting thing or something?

its possible. The way im punting at the moment, I was thinking about building a weird art gallery island in the richmond river.

:hihi

Anyway, better value at 365 and the cash-out function provides more diverse arbitrage opportunities.

Leader after round four:
Sportsbet $4
Bet365 $6

Thanks STC. I told sportsbet to get *smile* and withdrew all my funds. I got the $6 for round 4 leader the other day on sportsbet, then they wound it into $5. tried more today, they refused and wound it into $4. Same with then other 2 bets. I swear the *smile* are using me as an involuntary Richmond form analyst.

I'll take a look at 365

 

[scottyturnerscurse]

its possible. The way im punting at the moment, I was thinking about building a weird art gallery island in the richmond river.

Thanks STC. I told sportsbet to get *smile*ed and withdrew all my funds. I got the $6 for round 4 leader the other day on sportsbet, then they wound it into $5. tried more today, they refused and wound it into $4. Same with then other 2 bets. I swear the *smile*s are using me as an involuntary Richmond form analyst.

I'll take a look at 365

Pretty dodgy by Sportsbet. Crownbet are the worst at winding in prices after rejecting bets but I've never had an issue with Sportsbet. Instead of withdrawing your funds I suggest using their tactics against them by getting a a few bowler accounts. (Which, I should point out, is against their terms and conditions.)

And always remember that if you are being limited or being treated like a form analyst it means you are winning.

 

[easy_tiger]

And always remember that if you are being limited or being treated like a form analyst it means you are winning.

ive consistently beaten the *smile* since Dimma took the helm.

Ill just stick to cash, which i prefer anyway. I can straddle the border if the Tiges get on a roll, as I expect they will this season. :fing32

 

[scottyturnerscurse]

Jack Graham at 25-1 for most tackles in the season. Will take some of that. Scott Selwood a skinny $5 second fave but is certain to miss games from his ankle injury.

 

[easy_tiger]

Jack Graham at 25-1 for most tackles in the season. Will take some of that. Scott Selwood a skinny $5 second fave but is certain to miss games from his ankle injury.

Thats a helluva bet. where's that?

Ive got JG for the RS @ $8
Tigers highest vic side after H&A @$5
Tigers V GWS gf quin @$50 (cant help but grin whenever I even think about that bet)
Tigers to beat Crows R2 @ $3
Tigers on top R4 @$6
Tigers on top R8 @$5

the last 3 bets are essentially the same IMO, with a bit of a risk spread.

That'll probably do me for futures and I'll focus on H2H weekly now.

I made a fair bit of hay in 2017, but this year Im upping the ante.

 

[scottyturnerscurse]

Thats a helluva bet. where's that?

Ive got JG for the RS @ $8
Tigers highest vic side after H&A @$5
Tigers V GWS gf quin @$50 (cant help but grin whenever I even think about that bet)
Tigers to beat Crows R2 @ $3
Tigers on top R4 @$6
Tigers on top R8 @$5

the last 3 bets are essentially the same IMO, with a bit of a risk spread.

That'll probably do me for futures and I'll focus on H2H weekly now.

I made a fair bit of hay in 2017, but this year Im upping the ante.

Good luck.

Graham bet @ Bet365.

I missed the 50s on that quinella. I only got 30s so decided to outlay twice as much.

 

[easy_tiger]

Good luck.

Graham bet @ Bet365.

I missed the 50s on that quinella. I only got 30s so decided to outlay twice as much.

:hihi

I got it in time and still decided to outlay twice as much, across 3 states!

Im grinning like Eddie Betts right now.

The thing I really like about that quin at that price is not just the prospect of hanging the framed deed to my farm over the mantle, beside the guilded Dusty,

But the opportunties to lay come September, especially if Tigers and GWS are in opposite halves of the draw (1,2 finish would be ideal)

 

[scottyturnerscurse]

Richmond 200-1 to go through the H&A season undefeated @ Sportsbet.

 

[RoarEmotion]

Richmond 200-1 to go through the H&A season undefeated @ Sportsbet.

That’s horrible odds. If we were 1.50 favorites each match and you just put everything you get each match into the next one that gets you ~7400-1 across 22 games.

 

[MD Jazz]

That’s horrible odds. If we were 1.50 favorites each match and you just put everything you get each match into the next one that gets you ~7400-1 across 22 games.

I think the odds would eventually shorten to 1.1 to 1.20 in many games. We must be less than 1.50 for RD 1 already?

Maybe someone can look at the Essendon 2000 year and see what their cumulative odds were until they were beaten?

 

[easy_tiger]

That’s horrible odds. If we were 1.50 favorites each match and you just put everything you get each match into the next one that gets you ~7400-1 across 22 games.

1. Youde get cold feet after 15 straight, and

2. you wouldnt find a bookie to accept the 16th bet anyway, without venturing into some star wars bar down under a wharf.

Richmond 200-1 to go through the H&A season undefeated @ Sportsbet.

I wish I could get a price on us undefeated on The G (suppose it'd be around 100-1?). Will they offer a market on request?

 

[easy_tiger]

towner for most goals tonight @ $17 is outrageous value, given his form line.

Couldnt resist a little hundred to 25 grand on us to go undefeated also ;D

 

[scottyturnerscurse]

towner for most goals tonight @ $17 is outrageous value, given his form line.

Couldnt resist a little hundred to 25 grand on us to go undefeated also ;D

Haha. I have taken both of those bets.

 

[Leysy Days]

Vlastuin $12 to be all Aus on Sportsbet. Had some.

 

[easy_tiger]

Haha. I have taken both of those bets.

great minds and that

 

[easy_tiger]

Haha. I have taken both of those bets.

well we got 5% of the undefeated.

Towner gave us a good run too. Those *smile* i50 frees and 50's to carlton cost us.

 

[scottyturnerscurse]

well we got 5% of the undefeated.

Towner gave us a good run too. Those *smile*ing i50 frees and 50's to carlton cost us.

I got Towner at 1.35 to kick at least one goal, 2.50 to kick at least two goals, $8 to kick at least three goals and had a lunch money bet for him to kick at least four at 22-1.

Sadly, we couldn't get over the 30.5 line. Would have made it a very nice night.

Also very happy to have Jack Graham for most tackles in the season. Was 25-1. Will be 5-1 second fave come Monday.

 

[easy_tiger]

I got Towner at 1.35 to kick at least one goal, 2.50 to kick at least two goals, $8 to kick at least three goals and had a lunch money bet for him to kick at least four at 22-1.

Sadly, we couldn't get over the 30.5 line. Would have made it a very nice night.

Also very happy to have Jack Graham for most tackles in the season. Was 25-1. Will be 5-1 second fave come Monday.

:clap

The ratcheting on Towner is elite punting STC.

JG could have next week off and still be clear on top of tackles. Also a fine example of shrewd and alert punting.

 

[Leysy Days]

Great bet that Graham one.

Managed to get on us H2H @ $2.08 after the early Carlton blitz.