AFL Betting Thread | PUNT ROAD END | Richmond Tigers Forum
  • IMPORTANT // Please look after your loved ones, yourself and be kind to others. If you are feeling that the world is too hard to handle there is always help - I implore you not to hesitate in contacting one of these wonderful organisations Lifeline and Beyond Blue ... and I'm sure reaching out to our PRE community we will find a way to help. T.

AFL Betting Thread

Cant believe the Tigers are outright favourites to make the GF.

$1.55 to the crows $1.7.

OMG.

The last remaining value bet for season 2017, imo, is

Chimp for the Norm Smith @ $17.

17. omens everywhere.

gonna have a little chunk of that.
 
jb03 said:
Time for Leysy to get us back on track after the recent debacles.
Dude, if you just bet the opposite to whatever Losing Days tips you make yourself a fortune!
 
....and it happens again with Scumwood. WTF is so impressive about these duds to these bookies??

We're already 4th at 8/1 for the 2018 flag, but what makes Scumwood rank 7th at 17/1??
 
And they did. Ouch.

Monster regular season has leysy well up.

Finals havent been kind.

Lesson learnt backing overs.
 
scottyturnerscurse said:
One more win, scotty! I've felt dirty the past three weeks laying off a little, especially because I thought we'd win each game, but it's the smart play. If we win next week I clean up, if not, I'll have a nice bottle of something.
 
spook said:
One more win, scotty! I've felt dirty the past three weeks laying off a little, especially because I thought we'd win each game, but it's the smart play. If we win next week I clean up, if not, I'll have a nice bottle of something.

Guaranteed spook. How can a VFA team beat us at Etihad. Egobourne we are not!
 
spook said:
One more win, scotty! I've felt dirty the past three weeks laying off a little, especially because I thought we'd win each game, but it's the smart play. If we win next week I clean up, if not, I'll have a nice bottle of something.

I've cashed out a few as the season progresses but some of them Sportsbet won't let me, including a tasty VFL-AFL Richmond double that I trixied with Dustin Johnson to win the Masters (which was voided when he fell down a set of stairs on tourney eve).

Anyway, top spotting. It's so far paid for the airfare back to Melb.
 
scottyturnerscurse said:
I've cashed out a few as the season progresses but some of them Sportsbet won't let me, including a tasty VFL-AFL Richmond double that I trixied with Dustin Johnson to win the Masters (which was voided when he fell down a set of stairs on tourney eve).

Anyway, top spotting. It's so far paid for the airfare back to Melb.

Good punting guys, i saw your namesake in the bar under the the stand at the footy yesterday, he's a good bloke.
 
If you've backed the Tiges2 to win the VFL premiership it's time to think about laying off. I would have backed us to win it AND to play off but the second bet wasn't available.

(Never cash out. I'll say it again - never cash out.)

The procedure from here is to back Port Melbourne to win the sum required. In my case I have settled on a ratio of 75% if Tiges2 wins and 25% if we lose.

Suppose I win $500 if Richmond2 wins the flag with my current bets - then I bet $100 on Port to win the game at the $2.25 with the TAB. I will collect $500 ($20 stake + $100 layoff) if Richmond2 wins and nett $125 ($225-100 stake) if Port wins. Near enough to my 75/25 ratio.

Do not lay off with the bookie who is holding your Tiger2 bets. Do not. Even if it's the TAB lay off in cash in person at a kiosk. Not in your account. (If all your bets are in cash you are a free agent.) We will do this again. Do not turn up on anybody's radar. Keep your head down.

I have an additional plan for my stake that I'm working on ATM.

And BTW there is $2.35-2.40 around for Port if you can get on. ATM. But a few will be laying off. Go soon or go late IMO and watch the market. FWIW I expect Port to firm early and Richmond to firm game day.
 
Dyer'ere said:
If you've backed the Tiges2 to win the VFL premiership it's time to think about laying off. I would have backed us to win it AND to play off but the second bet wasn't available.

(Never cash out. I'll say it again - never cash out.)

The procedure from here is to back Port Melbourne to win the sum required. In my case I have settled on a ratio of 75% if Tiges2 wins and 25% if we lose.

Suppose I win $500 if Richmond2 wins the flag with my current bets - then I bet $100 on Port to win the game at the $2.25 with the TAB. I will collect $500 ($20 stake + $100 layoff) if Richmond2 wins and nett $125 ($225-100 stake) if Port wins. Near enough to my 75/25 ratio.

Do not lay off with the bookie who is holding your Tiger2 bets. Do not. Even if it's the TAB lay off in cash in person at a kiosk. Not in your account. (If all your bets are in cash you are a free agent.) We will do this again. Do not turn up on anybody's radar. Keep your head down.

I have an additional plan for my stake that I'm working on ATM.

And BTW there is $2.35-2.40 around for Port if you can get on. ATM. But a few will be laying off. Go soon or go late IMO and watch the market. FWIW I expect Port to firm early and Richmond to firm game day.

Choccas with shrewdity there capn

Like reading The Taming of the Shrewd.

Never, ever cash out! And bet in cash and keep your head down

Yep. I go to extent of splitting my bet on multiple tickets so it doesnt seem like your collecting (or occasionally losing) much.

Brings me to an anecdote

I got kicked out of The Northern Hotel a few weeks ago, when i went to cash a ticket.

The payout was a significant, but under $10k, which the stickers and posters all over every TAB say is the amount you will be asked for ID.

The smarmy barman first asked to see my ticket after i scanned it (dont have to do this) but i handed it over (i reckon he was an essendon *smile*)

And he goes 'have you got some ID mate?'

And i go 'yeah, course' long pause

He goes 'can i see it?'

'Nuh, you only get to see it when i win 10 grand, thats the TAB rule and your an agent of the TAB'

'House policy mate' and the dreaded bomber calls over sour faced *smile*

'Youve never asked to see my ID when i lose a grand'

Both lose composure almost entirely, swear at me and call me unpleasant names and tell me to *smile* off

No *smile*.

I grin and and ask them to print me a voucher for the amount (ive scanned ticket) and ill be on my way. i make a little

conversation while he prints my ticket

'So what's a barman get an hour these days?'

And i walked out the door whistling

'Tigerland' really loud and clear.

I might pop back in after the granny.
 
Ha - great yarn.

We'd be up for a Pre-game meetup and beer this week wouldn't we lads?

Leysy will be kicking around richmond pre-game.
 
Me and snake have a pretty hectic pregame sched, but post game will hopefully be a suburb wide unleashing of fire and fury?

Well be at etihad on sundy too