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IMPORTANT // Please look after your loved ones, yourself and be kind to others. If you are feeling that the world is too hard to handle there is always help - I implore you not to hesitate in contacting one of these wonderful organisations Lifeline and Beyond Blue ... and I'm sure reaching out to our PRE community we will find a way to help. T.
AFL Betting Thread
- Thread starter palmyscum
- Start date
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easy_tiger
Guest
Disappointing we can't supplement our income from this thread this week. 
Toothless has been very scarce as well on here.
Worried about him.
Toothless has been very scarce as well on here.
Worried about him.
I've had a tough couple of weeks, apart from a good collect on Sydney making the 8.Leysy Days said:Disappointing we can't supplement our income from this thread this week.
Toothless has been very scarce as well on here.
Worried about him.
Hoping for a lift during the finals. I better read this thread religiously the next few weeks.
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easy_tiger
Guest
the only value left in futures is tiger norm smiths.
17 dusty, 34 chimp, 40 rance.
ill speculate lightly on those.
but be riding the tigers to win the next 3 all up.
its business time alright
17 dusty, 34 chimp, 40 rance.
ill speculate lightly on those.
but be riding the tigers to win the next 3 all up.
its business time alright
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easy_tiger
Guest
evo said:
Its a good rule that ive been able to successfully break.
like many, 35 years of unbridled misery has taught me to understand Richmond better than I understand pretty much anything.
2014 and 2017 have been my best returns.
The No.1 rule to success with Richmond, dont back us when we are favourites (this year was a little different week to week, but I played the long game).
hence, its all laid out before us this friday night.
Like the tigers, I think its the hill I am prepared to die on in 2017.
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easy_tiger
Guest
OK fellas, ive studied the form.
Looking closely at the Cats and Tigers record on The MCG and Domain Stadium (which is simply the MCG 4000km to the West)
On the two big grounds, the tigers 2017 played 13 for 2 losses by an average winning margin of 30 and avg losing margin of 5.5 points.
the cats played big ground 7 times for 3 losses. 2 of the cats wins on big ground were in the first month verse Hawks and Freo, who were entirely *smile* at that stage (I fully acknowledge here that I am torturing the data for a confession). Their other two wins
on big grounds were by an average margin of 3 points.
The cats suffered MCG losses against Collingwood and Essendon.
The take home message? cats are a 50:50 proposition on big grounds against all opponents and they didnt meet a quality opponent on a big ground all year.
we are a quality opponent.
Therefore, I think we win by our average 2017 winning margin on big grounds (MCG and DS), which is 5 goals.
However, I would caution against playing margins in finals. You dont get a premium on the margin odds, but the notion is entirely different to H & A.
If you are really tempted by the margins, play them very conservatively.
Tigers to win. H2H @ $2.2.
Looking closely at the Cats and Tigers record on The MCG and Domain Stadium (which is simply the MCG 4000km to the West)
On the two big grounds, the tigers 2017 played 13 for 2 losses by an average winning margin of 30 and avg losing margin of 5.5 points.
the cats played big ground 7 times for 3 losses. 2 of the cats wins on big ground were in the first month verse Hawks and Freo, who were entirely *smile* at that stage (I fully acknowledge here that I am torturing the data for a confession). Their other two wins
on big grounds were by an average margin of 3 points.
The cats suffered MCG losses against Collingwood and Essendon.
The take home message? cats are a 50:50 proposition on big grounds against all opponents and they didnt meet a quality opponent on a big ground all year.
we are a quality opponent.
Therefore, I think we win by our average 2017 winning margin on big grounds (MCG and DS), which is 5 goals.
However, I would caution against playing margins in finals. You dont get a premium on the margin odds, but the notion is entirely different to H & A.
If you are really tempted by the margins, play them very conservatively.
Tigers to win. H2H @ $2.2.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-09-07/what-chance-do-teams-really-have-of-winning-the-afl-grand-final/8862758
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easy_tiger
Guest
Bernie said:
interesting bernie. something like the bookies use.
it doesnt factor in The Vibe though :hihi
OK, time to keep the amazing run of winners on this thread rolling.
Crows V GWs tonight. Think the total points line is light with two teams that score heavily.
GWS also going in with 3 tall forward so expect some zing out of the Crows backline
Over the 171.5 total points line the play.
Let's go!!
Crows V GWs tonight. Think the total points line is light with two teams that score heavily.
GWS also going in with 3 tall forward so expect some zing out of the Crows backline
Over the 171.5 total points line the play.
Let's go!!
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easy_tiger
Guest
