Dyer'ere said:
If you were betting that way you'd already be on at the $13 or whatever, brother. The trouble with getting off to a flyer is that the prices all dry up. ;D
It a ratcheted approach Capn.
once you feel you have the top 8 covered (which I dont by a long stretch, but you have to stay a step ahead of the filthy bookies, as you suggest), you ratchet it up to Top 4.
If it becomes apparent you have the top 4 covered, you ratchet up to the grandfinal.
then when your in the GF, collected on your 8 and 4, you book the penthouse at Crown, get titanium tickets to the brownlow and the GF, and have half the remainder of your winnings on the Flag. :hihi
if youve gone early and hard on the first click of your ratchet, then the odds on subsequent clicks are largely, but not entirely, irrelevant. The main assumption of this ratcheted approach (which ive implemented with success on margins on single
game) , is that you either have, or are pretty confident that your ratchet cant slip back past the first peg. Using this approach, when the first click is largely un-slippable, that should remain an even
money profit, and then you ratchet aggressively
Its an allegorical algorithm based on the punting truism that betting with bookies money is easy, with the ratchet avoiding losing heavy loads entirely. :theyareontome
I call this approach, The Ratchet.