AFL Betting Thread | PUNT ROAD END | Richmond Tigers Forum
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AFL Betting Thread

Back the fresh legs. Note the recent unusual success of Melbourne horses, because they haven't been grinding through the muck for six weeks.

P.S. Love it, easy. I'm heading your way next week, we'll finally have to have that beer.
 
spook said:
Back the fresh legs. Note the recent unusual success of Melbourne horses, because they haven't been grinding through the muck for six weeks.

P.S. Love it, easy. I'm heading your way next week, we'll finally have to have that beer.

you going to the brisbane game?
 
Leysy Days said:
Yep, and there pretty much all the same on that front Spook.

Haven't had time to fully look into the form yet, but have a few sheckles after the easy money on the Crows last week.

The one leysy does like this week at the moment are the Pies at $3.40 H2H and the 20.5 pt line.

Sydney have a very very poor and inexperienced bottom 6 to 8 ATM and Collingwood have copped heaps all week.

The trip away will do them good.

Think they win, and very sure they cover the line.

Swans won't lose this one, poor timing for pies.
 
Leysy Days said:
Yep, and there pretty much all the same on that front Spook.

Haven't had time to fully look into the form yet, but have a few sheckles after the easy money on the Crows last week.

The one leysy does like this week at the moment are the Pies at $3.40 H2H and the 20.5 pt line.

Sydney have a very very poor and inexperienced bottom 6 to 8 ATM and Collingwood have copped heaps all week.

The trip away will do them good.

Think they win, and very sure they cover the line.
Oh, man. Followed you in at 3.25 (ridiculous odds) and rode it home like I was Eddie McGuire himself!
 
Leysy Days said:
Yep, and there pretty much all the same on that front Spook.

Haven't had time to fully look into the form yet, but have a few sheckles after the easy money on the Crows last week.

The one leysy does like this week at the moment are the Pies at $3.40 H2H and the 20.5 pt line.

Sydney have a very very poor and inexperienced bottom 6 to 8 ATM and Collingwood have copped heaps all week.

The trip away will do them good.

Think they win, and very sure they cover the line.

Show Leysy (and Spook) the dirty tainted bookie lucre.

And lots of it.

No more bets for the weekend.

Got the lot.
 
Leysy Days said:
Show Leysy (and Spook) the dirty tainted bookie lucre.

And lots of it.

No more bets for the weekend.

Got the lot.

:hihi

go for the jugular leysy, have the lot on the tiges
 
Drowning. ;D

Didn't post so completely after timing. Had some on GC tonight as well.

Hawks are gawwwwnnnnnnnn.
 
hawks and swans on their knees. Tigers rising.

its building into the perfect season.

tigers into $1.75, 6th in line, for the 8.

didnt take the bookies as long to catch on as i thought.

a very brave man would tighten the screws and have some $5 for the top 4, before we are 5-0 :hihi

the season's our oyster boys. we have options aplenty.
 
Put $6 on the Tiges for the flag.
Then Power bet it on sportsbet . return when we win the GF :) $188
Odds 26:1 went to 30:1 using that option.
Go Tiges !
 
Al Bundy said:
Put $6 on the Tiges for the flag.
Then Power bet it on sportsbet . return when we win the GF :) $188
Odds 26:1 went to 30:1 using that option.
Go Tiges !

Ata boy AL. It a bull market on here at the moment.
 
easy said:
a very brave man would tighten the screws and have some $5 for the top 4, before we are 5-0 :hihi

If you were betting that way you'd already be on at the $13 or whatever, brother. The trouble with getting off to a flyer is that the prices all dry up. ;D

I reckon the next value for us will be when we're having a bit of bad luck. That might be a cloud with a silver lining.

We were $4 at half time of the Collingwood game. -4.5. Nobody knew we were a third quarter team then. (Just like Fly trained the new boys to be last year.) That might be a bit of an opportunity. I might wait til we're down against a top line opponent and balls it out.
 
Dyer'ere said:
If you were betting that way you'd already be on at the $13 or whatever, brother. The trouble with getting off to a flyer is that the prices all dry up. ;D

It a ratcheted approach Capn.

once you feel you have the top 8 covered (which I dont by a long stretch, but you have to stay a step ahead of the filthy bookies, as you suggest), you ratchet it up to Top 4.

If it becomes apparent you have the top 4 covered, you ratchet up to the grandfinal.

then when your in the GF, collected on your 8 and 4, you book the penthouse at Crown, get titanium tickets to the brownlow and the GF, and have half the remainder of your winnings on the Flag. :hihi

if youve gone early and hard on the first click of your ratchet, then the odds on subsequent clicks are largely, but not entirely, irrelevant. The main assumption of this ratcheted approach (which ive implemented with success on margins on single

game) , is that you either have, or are pretty confident that your ratchet cant slip back past the first peg. Using this approach, when the first click is largely un-slippable, that should remain an even

money profit, and then you ratchet aggressively

Its an allegorical algorithm based on the punting truism that betting with bookies money is easy, with the ratchet avoiding losing heavy loads entirely. :theyareontome

I call this approach, The Ratchet.
 
West Coast 1-39pts tonight.

Think they will be 5goals up at 3q time and get over the line by approx 15pts.