Here's why we need to go with a young coach prepared to cut/trade deeply, everyone over 25.
These are all the premiership players from 17-20, and how they were added to our list. The trade players are shown with the original round they were drafted in.
1st Round | 2nd Round | 3rd Round | 4th Round | 5th Round | Rookie/PSD | Trade/FA |
Cotchin | McIntosh | Astbury | Butler | Broad | Grimes (2 PSD) | Houli (3rd round) |
Rance | Edwards | Graham | | | Lambert | Townsend (Zone) |
Vlastuin | Bolton | | | | Castagna | Caddy (1st) |
Martin | Balta | | | | Short | Nankervis (2nd) |
Riewoldt | | | | | Soldo | Prestia (1st) |
Rioli | | | | | Baker | Grigg (2nd) |
Ellis | | | | | Pickett (MSD) | Lynch (1st) |
7/29 24.13% | 4/29 13.7% | 2/29 6.89% | 1/29 3.45% | 1/29 3.45% | 7/29 24.13% | 7/29 24.13% |
| | | | | | |
Here's Hawthorn 13-15.
1st Round | 2nd Round | 3rd Round | 4th Round | 5th Round | Rookie/PSD | Trade/FA |
Birchall | Hill | Stratton | Puopolo | Duryea | Breust | Lake (6th) |
Smith | Gunston | Mitchell | | | Sewell | Burgoyne (1st) |
Lewis | Shiels | | | | Suckling | Gibson (R) |
Franklin | | | | | Langford | Guerra (2nd) |
Rioli | | | | | | Hale (1st) |
Roughead | | | | | | Simpkin (R) |
Bailey | | | | | | Spangher (2nd) |
Hodge | | | | | | McEvoy (1st) |
Schoenmakers | | | | | | Frawley (1st) |
9/29 31.03% | 3/29 10.34% | 2/29 6.89% | 1/29 3.45% | 1/29 3.45% | 4/29 13.7% | 9/29 31.03% |
Geelong 2007-11
1st Round | 2nd Round | 3rd Round | 4th Round | 5th Round | Rookie/PSD | Trade/FA |
Mackie | Wojcinski | Scarlett (FS) | Stokes | | King (Comp) | Harley (Zone) |
Corey | Johnson | Hunt | | | Byrnes | Mooney (4th) |
Bartel | Chapman | Milburn | | | Rookie | Ottens (1st) |
Selwood | Lonergan | Enright | | | Podsiadly | |
Kelly | West | Ablett N (F/S) | | | | |
Taylor | Duncan | Ling | | | | |
Varcoe | | Ablett G (F/S) | | | | |
| | Hawkins (F/S) | | | | |
| | Blake (F/S) | | | | |
| | Christensen | | | | |
7/31 22.58% | 6/31 19.35% | 10/31 32.25% | 1/31 3.22% | 0 | 4/31 12.90% | 3/31 9.67% |
So when we look at sustained success, not just winning a flag but building a list that will win a few there are a few things that you need to do.
1. Draft and develop about 70% of your players yourself, minimum.
2. First and second round draft picks win premierships. You need to have over half your list as first and second round picks, either drafted or traded in. (Geelong would have had more if not for the father/son rule skewing numbers into third round).
When you project out our current list and where it will be in 3 years time, we need to be into the draft and getting more top end talent.
If Cotchin, Martin, Riewoldt, Vlastuin, Lynch and Dow are no longer with us in 3 years time, we will have Gibcus, Brown, Rioli D and picks from 2024 and 2025 as first round selections on our list, plus Hopper and Taranto who will be 28 and 29.
That's a projection of a team that will take 5 years to rebuild.