I suspect Bakes and Graham will leave, and I reckon our 2nd will be on the table as part of a deal with the Suns.
I reckon our targets will be 2 of those Freo 1sts, not sure if we get all 3 and give something back, 1 of the Suns picks and or the Lions pick (which will likely be a teen pick, they will make finals for sure now).
We need to trade hard and get 5 picks inside 20-25, which I think is possible, but obviously as you say, only if 1 or 2 players leave.
Its all going to come down to what the AFL do regarding the bidding system and which year it impacts.