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2024 Draft Thread
- Thread starter Mr T.
- Start date
I wonder how much Carlton know. If the deal is done and announced on the night it limits how much time they have to react. I wonder if Norf and Richmond are keeping this ultra hush but the deal is done.
I suspect that the only reasons that its not done publicly are that Norf are hanging out for pick 6 - which we aren't giving up - and that logically it makes sense to wait until the last moment to see if anything else gets shaken out of the tree at the last moment, on the night anyway. Plus maybe, the theatre of doing a swap on the night for the AFL's coverage.
From a mids perspective there is a top tier of two for mine- Lalor and FOS. This followed by a group of three being Smith, Langford and Draper. Smillie is a wildcard sitting just outside this. Massive decision for the club to trade up to pick 2 using pick 6 and say a late first rounder.
Do we think FOS is worth it? I think he is. However RFC may think one of the other four mids above will be just as good - I'm less sure.
The challenge is not trading up is playing the odds better, so it makes it a tough choice.
Do we think FOS is worth it? I think he is. However RFC may think one of the other four mids above will be just as good - I'm less sure.
The challenge is not trading up is playing the odds better, so it makes it a tough choice.
Same, I've been all in on FOS for months now. Has been my number 1 for a while, but I can see why we go Lalor, but if we do, FOS and Lalor is a perfect duo. If we can do some other trades to get up and snag Jagga too, then we'll have done very well.
I'd still love to do those suggested trades with both North and the Saints.
AFL Talent Expert, Mick Ablett, caught up with Scott Cummings & Tim Gossage in the studio to forecast and prepare for the upcoming AFL Draft on the 20th-21st. They assess the major names and dominoes to fall ahead of the big night.
podcasts.apple.com
AFL Draft Update with Mick Ablett in the Studio! (11/11/2024)
Podcast Episode · SEN WA Breakfast · 10/11/2024 · 26m
podcasts.apple.com
I'm going against the grain here but no way would I replace Tauru with another tall & a small forward or an ACL candidate. Armstrong isn't in the same ballpark as Tauru either, he's an excellent set shot on goal but his aerial presence not on the same page. Rawlings needs to cut the best deal with Tauru included, even if that means dealing with Carlton and grabbing Sims with a late second rounder.
Surely FOS doesn’t get past the top 3.
If North still hold pick 2 on draft night not even Rawlings is stupid enough to not pick FOS or one of the other midfielders at 2.
IMO Tauru won’t get picked until all the highly touted midfielders are gone.
Lalor
Ashcroft
FOS
Langford
Smith
Draper
Smillie
Pick 8 at the earliest for Tauru.
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Tauru is a good player but only 3 weeks ago he was rated behind Armstrong and maybe one or two others. Without playing a game he's now suddenly jumped not only every other key forward in the draft but also in addition, a high quality mid. Note: Lindsay isn't a small forward. And you don't have to take Hotton either. Reid and Hynes are coming into scope now too it seems.
Whatever, ignoring who you take with 2 picks later on, holding onto 2 and taking Tauru is way way overs. And Norf know that. One way or another, they have to a) get 6 out of us which is unlikley or 2) split and get back in the draft and generate better value that way. I reckon the latter will happen.
Then again, Rawlings is Rawlings and he has a bad, bad track record.
Richmond would be mad to pick Smillie or Draper ahead of Tauru.
Yeah but I'm saying that Richmond won't give up 6. That seems the sense. So their only alternative is to move back with us for something later and for 2 good players. 10 or 11 or 18 will give them multiple tall forward options still. And they won't be assigned to a mid they don't want with either of them either.
I struggle to see how any professional recruiter could rate Armstrong ahead of Tauru, way more bust potential with Armstrong, he's in that category of boom/bust because you would struggle to play him anywhere else apart from the forward line. The winners from this draft will be those who manage the risk with players who are very likely to become core players. Even if Tauru doesn't make the transition to key forward he will still make a fine key defender.
Possibly, but you're not including the second, high quality player in your equation. When you do, the risk factor declines below that of Tauru just on his own.
There's enough depth in this draft that would ensure I get a second prospect into the equation. Tauru + Sims, Tauru + Mraz, Tauru + Dodson.
Aces, You are giving in to the widely held belief that we should focus on mids rather than focus on the best available.
Tauru worth considerably more than the last 3 in that list. Tauru Langford pretty much a draw.
And given the concern that those mids available won’t rise to the level of a Reid etc, the selection of Tauru at 6 if available, looks even more attractive.
