A few other teams can do this year too
Fremantle, Geelong, Giants and Sydney.
So its not going to be a lowball deal
Yeah I think we'll need 200-400 points premium to get a Pick 6 or the GC picks at 8 and 11. I think we'll be really aggressive though. I still keep looking at our list, and I don't think we'll have a huge volume of list spaces, purely with the young boys showing things this year. We will probably want to have a later pick, or a rookie spot available for Zadyn Lockwood too, hoping he goes past Pick 40. I'm thinking 5-6 spots available, so maybe 4 top picks, which means we'll be very aggressive with our hand IMO.
That Brisbane pick will be highly sought after, especially with it looking now like Adelaide won't be trading their 1st pick with how poor they have been this year, their pick is likely to be well in front of a bid for Welch.
My view on current list spots is below.
Currently - 2 extra on list, need to delist 2 just to get back to normal list size
Retire - Grimes / Naismith, I also reckon 1 of Martin or Prestia will retire
Delist / retire - I reckon 1 of McIntosh or Pickett will leave
Trade - I reckon Graham will leave - Port IMO will be all over that
That gives us 3 available list spots.
Of the rest I reckon we will re-sign - Hugo, MRJ, Ross, Ryan, Smith, Campell and Lefau for sure
That leaves Bakes (obviously its upto him, we would re-sign in a heartbeat), Cumberland, Dow, Green, Blight, Coulthard, Gray and Tresize. We probably lose 2-3 of this group IMO leaving us with 5-6 list spots as we go into the draft.
So I suspect we will go as hard as possible to get as strong a position as we can within 20 (4 picks) with a couple of late ones available if Lockwood sneaks past 40. Maybe we keep a couple of 4ths to match, and if not, then we take someone late or take rookies either from the draft or our VFL list.