I'm really struggling to separate Atley, Clarke & Graham. Every time I decide who I like better, another one of the trio bobs up with a super impressive performance. Now with the season just about done and dusted I'm committing myself to a choice, this may well change based on endurance numbers (speed not so important) but I have a pretty good idea about each players ability to get the contest. For the record, I rate Scharenberg well ahead of all these players however I can't see us landing him unless we buy into the top 20.
Best Kick
Atley gets the nod here easily. Despite the fact his kicks lack a bit of depth they find their mark more often than not and part of his no-frills reputation comes from his tendency to play within his limitations - I would never mark a player down for this. Mathew Priddis won a Brownlow playing to his strengths, his kicking is limited but he's adapted his game to predominantly become a handball specialist. Atley's kick to handball ratio is 1:2 for the most part, he certainly doesn't try and overuse the ball and when he does kick, his efficiency is generally above 50%. If we break that down further, since the state carnival Atley has never dipped under 50%, that indicates improvement and an ability to refine his game. I mentioned Patrick Cripps in an earlier post and this is exactly how I see Atley tracking, whilst he probably won't have the same impact, they definitely play a similar game. For the record, Atley's KE has been 75% since the middle of May, this is a very good number for a player who wins 60% of his possessions in contested situations.
Clarke & Graham are two players who seem to regularly miss targets and I actually believe that Graham's stats were a little bit misleading given quite a few scrubbers were made to look good by his team mates further up the ground. Technically speaking I don't like the ball drop of either and feel that the odds of improvement are much longer unless there's some serious remedial work on the training track. Given that Richmond have an awful record of development I'm inclined to steer clear of players with kicking flaws.
Clearance Ability
When Graham and Atley went to head to head the figures were 9 - 3 in Graham's favour and probably cemented his reputation as a clearance specialist. However against Vic Metro Graham only had 1 clearance and Clarke registered 9, this was the only occasion when Graham had his colours lowered. Against Country, Clarke had 6 but Atley was rested, it's probably worth mentioning that Clarke's DE was running at 58% that day, a little below what I would deem acceptable.
When analysing their ball use, both Atley & Clarke look to generally dish the ball off by hand, both have a good technique with raising the arms and opening up the space above shoulder level. For the most part their delivery is sound although from the naked eye it felt as though the opposition tended to anticipate Clarke's initial movements and were able to shark the contest. Graham is a slightly different breed, he generally opts for the quick kick out of congestion and as a result, it becomes a strategy of meterage gained rather than maintaining possession. This could be found out at AFL level and is something which may have recruiters slightly concerned. I think as a final observation, Graham & Clarke probably have the edge on sheer numbers but it would appear that Atley is the better user in tight congestion. It then becomes a question of selecting a player whose game can be refined or taking the player whose overall numbers need to be increased. When looking at the entire draft pool it's Scharenberg who has set the benchmark.
Overall Production
I think it's fair to say that Graham & Clarke are bigger ball winners than Joe, this has been evident at state level and also in the u/18's. Clarke averaged 30 possessions & 8 tackles a game at TAC level, these high numbers were largely maintained at state level. Graham has also had some excellent numbers which have translated to senior football. Atley's numbers haven't been horrible, with 20 touches at state level and 22 at TAC level, he also didn't look out of place against Essendon reserves with 16 touches and 2 goals.
So the question still beckons, who is the best bet out of this group? Atley has the better disposal from my perspective but hasn't quite reached the key parameters when selecting a midfielder, 22 disposals is solid but fractionally short of acceptable production. Unfortunately I'm concerned with Richmond's ability to develop and iron out any technical flaws so I think it would be better to focus on skill rather than numbers at this stage. Atley's last month of football hasn't been too shabby all things considered and he's featured in the best players in three matches (the only blip being a Tim Taranto blitzkrieg). His 78% DE at the state carnival is also a good indicator that he is polished enough to contribute at the next level.
Second in line I'm opting for Graham, I just think he has the numbers on the board with a Larke medal and some high grade football at senior level. His kicking technique is a slight concern but I have to acknowledge that he kicks more than he handballs yet the stats are still telling me his efficiency is up in the high 60's. Leadership also needs to be considered here and Graham isn't a player who will take a backward step.
As for Clarke, his KE is under 50% and despite the fact he generally handballs his overall efficiency hasn't really benefited to any great degree. If he's available at pick 42 I'd consider but I'm tempted to look at some of the outside runners like Villis & Florent with any higher picks.