Isnt it incomplete to say that we've taken 5 picks under 30 last year?
Its lazy and biased.
We should be considering more years
2020 - earliest pick #40 - outcome MRJ, Ryan and Mansell= 1 probable, 2 possible
2019 - first pick #21 - Dow, Cumberland, Martyn, Ralphsmith, Nyuon = 1 probable, 3 possible, 1 delisted
2018 - first pick #20 - RCD, Ross, Turner, English, Aarts, = 1 probable, 4 delisted
2017 - first pick #17 - Higgins, CCJ, Balta, Naish, Miller = 1 probable, 1 possible, 3 delisted/traded
So over 4 years we have 4 probable/definite top 22. Just 4
There is possibility for more, but most possibles are very under-exposed
(eg Biggie, Miller, Ryan looking good at VFL level is a long way from AFL)
To maintain a side that can average a 10 year career requires 2 successful draftees each year. To maintain the level of senior stability (not counting star power)
In essence the 2021 5 in 30 has backfilled the 2017-2020 gaps. We shouldnt be double-counting it to cover 2022 and 2023.