i just want 2 more years and for him to get to 100 games and anything else is a bonus , But he could easily play another 4-5 moreJust on Pickett. Some of you saying only a couple more years but I think he can play well into his 30s
Bourgoyne played something like 160 games after he turned 30
Apart from 5 words, it sounds like you are sick of winning flags.That's a nice piece of propaganda from Big Tone, but you could drive a truck through the holes in it.
Fact is we have loaded up on our current list to try and contend again rather than use a reasonable draft hand to continue to regenerate, and the main reason for that is that under 25 team isn't winning a flag ever.
I'm all for the strategy, but also worried we are showing too much faith in our champions to be able to produce again.
Ultimately the proof is in the pudding in this business though, top 4 is the minimum for the next two or three years, otherwise it's a bust.
Apart from 5 words, it sounds like you are sick of winning flags.
All of these guys have been extended.You could point to any list and do the same thing. Every single top four side from 2022 will need to replace their best players in five years.
Look at Geelong, they've shifted thinking. This is your area TBR, sports science is prolonging every sport across the board. Look at what Novak, Federer, Nadal, Messi, Ronaldo, Brady, Lebron are doing. They are the elite of the elite performing well into their 30s. I read that the average age of the Champions League soccer team moved from 24.9 in 1992 to 26.5 in 2019. 1.5 years mightn't sound like a lot but when the average peak performance is from 23-29 it's a massive shift. Geelong just won a flag easily with the OLDEST SIDE TO EVER PLAY A GAME. The movement is happening.
We contend at least for the next two years. We've been creative, got more talent in. I've spruked on here for years, generation are built from getting three or four core footballers out of one draft. Blokes that play together in finals. We got Lambert, Short, Castanga and Soldo from one rookie draft. We took five players inside 30 last year. I reckon we've got two banked. Gibcus & Sonsie. Maybe Clarke. Need to get another one out of Banks or Brown. I think most have had contracts extended. There is a truckload of internal faith being shown. If we don't have that faith, not sure we go after both lads from GWS.
Look at the side that Hopper & Taranto just left. There's never been an under 25 more stacked with talent positioned to win a flag. They didn't get one. Made one grand final and got murdered.
In a league getting older and older, under 25 means less and less. Projecting forward over more than three years is virtually impossible.
Propaganda or not Tony Greenberg has made this point quite a few times over the season on the talking tigers podcast.That's a nice piece of propaganda from Big Tone, but you could drive a truck through the holes in it.
Fact is we have loaded up on our current list to try and contend again rather than use a reasonable draft hand to continue to regenerate, and the main reason for that is that under 25 team isn't winning a flag ever.
I'm all for the strategy, but also worried we are showing too much faith in our champions to be able to produce again.
Ultimately the proof is in the pudding in this business though, top 4 is the minimum for the next two or three years, otherwise it's a bust.
Burgoyne is the exception to the rule - 1 of 5 ever to play 400 games. I don't think he should be the measurement.Just on Pickett. Some of you saying only a couple more years but I think he can play well into his 30s
Burgoyne played something like 160 games after he turned 30
Thank god we took 5 picks in the stronger draft last year .That's a nice piece of propaganda from Big Tone, but you could drive a truck through the holes in it.
Fact is we have loaded up on our current list to try and contend again rather than use a reasonable draft hand to continue to regenerate, and the main reason for that is that under 25 team isn't winning a flag ever.
I'm all for the strategy, but also worried we are showing too much faith in our champions to be able to produce again.
Ultimately the proof is in the pudding in this business though, top 4 is the minimum for the next two or three years, otherwise it's a bust.
As my last point.Not at all, I just think we are at a fascinating position in terms of our list management and the direction we have taken. I can see the argument that it is a great move and the argument it is a terrible move and I see merit in both positions.
As I said, I'm all for the strategy, flags are bloody hard to win and if you have a shot you should take it no matter what the future cost.
I certainly won't complain if we end up like Hawthorn are now because we overplay it and it doesn't come off.
Pickett has 43 games to reach the 100 so I reckon he will need 3 seasons to get there, as for rarely injured, he missed 2 games this year with a hammy, 1 with a migraine and 1 with suspension, very few players get through a season unscathed.i just want 2 more years and for him to get to 100 games and anything else is a bonus , But he could easily play another 4-5 more
rarely gets injured and has that body type that has durability.
Bloke turned out to be a Gem
As my last point.
Did the Hawks take more than 3 picks let alone 5 in the top 30 in any year post 2015?
We took our medicine last year.
Hawks are finally taking it 7yrs later with alot of pain ahead.
Love your work.Hawthorn are actually a great case study for us to review.
2015
19 - Burton - traded in 2018 to get Wingard
22 - Lovell - delisted after 2 games
44 - Hardwick - 124 games so far
R18 - Surman - delisted after 0 games
R36 - Stewart - delisted after 7 games
R52 - Woodward - delisted after 0 games (mature age)
R62 - Glass - delisted after 21 games
2016 (traded out Brad Hill, Sam Mitchell, Jordan Lewis and 2017 1st. Traded in Tom Mitchell, JOM)
74 - Morrison - 78 games so far
76 - Lewis - 51 games so far
R14 - Hanrahan - delisted after 29 games
R31 - Fitzpatrick - delisted after 1 game (mature age)
R46 - Cousins - delisted after 35 games
2017 (traded out Luke Hodge, traded in Impey)
45 - Worpel - 79 games so far
67 - Moore - 52 games so far
71 - Ross - delisted after 0 games
R7 - Jones - delisted after 1 game
R23 - Mirra - delisted after 11 games (mature age)
R34 - Willsmore - delisted after 0 games
2018 (traded out Burton, traded in Wingard and Duryea)
52 - Koschitzke - played 36 games so far
63 - Walker - delisted after 0 games
R14 - Greaves - delisted after 10 games
R30 - Golds - delisted after 0 games
R43 - Mohr - delisted after 0 games (mature age)
R49 - Langford - delisted after 0 games
2019 (traded out Pittonet, traded in Frost, Patton)
13 - Day - played 33 games so far
29 - Maginness - played 19 games so far
57 - Morris - played 15 games so far
PSD2 - Hartley - delisted after 5 games (mature age)
R9 - Jeka - played 7 games so far (mature age)
2020 (traded in Hartigan, Phillips)
6 - Grainger-Barras - played 21 games so far
29 - Mitchell - played 0 games so far
35 - Downie - delisted after 2 games
46 - Brockman - played 11 games so far
R4 - Saunders - delisted after 1 game
2021 (traded out Ceglar, traded in Lynch)
MSD2 - Newcombe - played 22 games so far
MSD17 - Callow - delisted after 3 games
7 - Ward - played 14 games so far
23 - Butler - played 9 games so far
26 - McDonald - played 20 games so far
53 - Serong - played 3 games so far
R5 - Long - played 1 game so far
2022 (traded out Tom Mitchell, Gunston, traded in Stephens)
MSD6 - Ramsden - 0 games played yet
MSD20 - Blanck - 9 games played so far
Picks 6, 24, 41, 48, 50, 52 and 65
Thats a pretty sorry list. We could potentially compare out 2022 with their 2016 (we will have 2 late picks as they did when they took Morrison and Lewis with theirs - hopefully we can pick good ones too), but the years around them couldn't be further from what we have done. The year before they traded out for those 2 mids, they has 2 picks in the top 25 (we had 5 last year) and since traded 1 out to bring in Wingard which has been a massive fail.
They effectively had 1 pick inside 40 between 2015 and 2018 (as they traded Burton back out again). Thats chalk and cheese from what we have been doing.
Even go back to the year we won the flag, we had 3 within 25 (sure we traded 2 of those out), but we reset and went again with those picks.
I'm not sure why people compare us to the Hawks, we aren't doing what they did.
We actually hit the draft and more importantly we didn't trade the heart and soul out of our footy club for junk picks.
Even taking a look at the Hawks v us over the last 2 drafts.
We took 5 in 30 last year (1 top 10, 2 top 20, 3 between 21 and 30) but we also traded in Hopper and Taranto (although lost a teens pick next year)
They took 5 in 30 over the 2 years (2 in top 10, 2 in top 20, 3 between 21 and 30).
Our actual drafting over the last 2 years has been almost identical but we gained Taranto and Hopper and only lost a teens pick next year (and CCJ - a 20's pick) last year. So we have essentially drafted the same number of "quality" kids as the Hawks have over the last 2 years (21 and 22 drafts)
Sounds a lot like the Kardinia Park model.i dont reckon any club would have a current list of 25yo and under who are going to be a flag winning side.
we will continue to add youngsters, even if not early this draft or next, and we will continue to have stars playing into their 30s.
Our flag window will stay open for at least another 5 years.
You forgot to add the years 2009, 2011, 2012, 2013 and 2014 where the HAwks did not take a single 1sr rd pick.Hawthorn are actually a great case study for us to review.
2015
19 - Burton - traded in 2018 to get Wingard
22 - Lovell - delisted after 2 games
44 - Hardwick - 124 games so far
R18 - Surman - delisted after 0 games
R36 - Stewart - delisted after 7 games
R52 - Woodward - delisted after 0 games (mature age)
R62 - Glass - delisted after 21 games
2016 (traded out Brad Hill, Sam Mitchell, Jordan Lewis and 2017 1st. Traded in Tom Mitchell, JOM)
74 - Morrison - 78 games so far
76 - Lewis - 51 games so far
R14 - Hanrahan - delisted after 29 games
R31 - Fitzpatrick - delisted after 1 game (mature age)
R46 - Cousins - delisted after 35 games
2017 (traded out Luke Hodge, traded in Impey)
45 - Worpel - 79 games so far
67 - Moore - 52 games so far
71 - Ross - delisted after 0 games
R7 - Jones - delisted after 1 game
R23 - Mirra - delisted after 11 games (mature age)
R34 - Willsmore - delisted after 0 games
2018 (traded out Burton, traded in Wingard and Duryea)
52 - Koschitzke - played 36 games so far
63 - Walker - delisted after 0 games
R14 - Greaves - delisted after 10 games
R30 - Golds - delisted after 0 games
R43 - Mohr - delisted after 0 games (mature age)
R49 - Langford - delisted after 0 games
2019 (traded out Pittonet, traded in Frost, Patton)
13 - Day - played 33 games so far
29 - Maginness - played 19 games so far
57 - Morris - played 15 games so far
PSD2 - Hartley - delisted after 5 games (mature age)
R9 - Jeka - played 7 games so far (mature age)
2020 (traded in Hartigan, Phillips)
6 - Grainger-Barras - played 21 games so far
29 - Mitchell - played 0 games so far
35 - Downie - delisted after 2 games
46 - Brockman - played 11 games so far
R4 - Saunders - delisted after 1 game
2021 (traded out Ceglar, traded in Lynch)
MSD2 - Newcombe - played 22 games so far
MSD17 - Callow - delisted after 3 games
7 - Ward - played 14 games so far
23 - Butler - played 9 games so far
26 - McDonald - played 20 games so far
53 - Serong - played 3 games so far
R5 - Long - played 1 game so far
2022 (traded out Tom Mitchell, Gunston, traded in Stephens)
MSD6 - Ramsden - 0 games played yet
MSD20 - Blanck - 9 games played so far
Picks 6, 24, 41, 48, 50, 52 and 65
Thats a pretty sorry list. We could potentially compare out 2022 with their 2016 (we will have 2 late picks as they did when they took Morrison and Lewis with theirs - hopefully we can pick good ones too), but the years around them couldn't be further from what we have done. The year before they traded out for those 2 mids, they has 2 picks in the top 25 (we had 5 last year) and since traded 1 out to bring in Wingard which has been a massive fail.
They effectively had 1 pick inside 40 between 2015 and 2018 (as they traded Burton back out again). Thats chalk and cheese from what we have been doing.
Even go back to the year we won the flag, we had 3 within 25 (sure we traded 2 of those out), but we reset and went again with those picks.
I'm not sure why people compare us to the Hawks, we aren't doing what they did.
We actually hit the draft and more importantly we didn't trade the heart and soul out of our footy club for junk picks.
Even taking a look at the Hawks v us over the last 2 drafts.
We took 5 in 30 last year (1 top 10, 2 top 20, 3 between 21 and 30) but we also traded in Hopper and Taranto (although lost a teens pick next year)
They took 5 in 30 over the 2 years (2 in top 10, 2 in top 20, 3 between 21 and 30).
Our actual drafting over the last 2 years has been almost identical but we gained Taranto and Hopper and only lost a teens pick next year (and CCJ - a 20's pick) last year. So we have essentially drafted the same number of "quality" kids as the Hawks have over the last 2 years (21 and 22 drafts)
As my last point.
Did the Hawks take more than 3 picks let alone 5 in the top 30 in any year post 2015?
We took our medicine last year.
Hawks are finally taking it 7yrs later with alot of pain ahead.
Thank god we took 5 picks in the stronger draft last year .