Just came back from a few hours in the city. First time I’ve been in there for a while. Few people getting about.
Another prediction beyond the vax rush from 4 or 5 months ago. This one maybe just as obvious but here goes: whatever health impacts ie deaths, hospitalisations, sickness etc Covid presents going forward from here on in, it’s going to be centred around a combination of 35 y.o’s and less and blue collar workers - tradie/construction/roadies in particular. You can take it to the bank.
I reckon I could safely say that 80%-85% of the people I saw breaching Covid safety were under 35 y.o and/or tradies. There were a LOT of them. Going into retail outlets with no masks, working and sitting around indoors on top of each other with no masks. Walking around with no masks, on trams with no masks etc etc. Standing at a set of lights I even heard a foreman sounding guy on his mobile saying to someone and I quote “Ah don’t worry about it. If he’s been in contact with a few Covid positive people as long as he hasn’t been too close to them he’ll be fine. Tell him to come into work.” I’m not joking. Ffs I even had to get into a lift with a dhead tradie not wearing a mask.
There were one or two others indifferent to being safe at a time when we still need to be eg a couple of vagrants, alternative hipster types, one or two oldies etc but 85% of them were young people and tradie construction types - unbelievable given everything we’ve been through and what this community cohort have been told.
Anyway with vax numbers finally getting towards where we always needed them, there will be a lessening adverse health outcome across the broad. But whatever we do have, based on the behavioural patterns I’m seeing, it’ll have a level of centralisation within these two groups. Maybe a bit of a city or metro concentration as well. Lower safety behaviour linking into lower vax rates.
We probably won’t get any stats to back that up - we don’t now except for age based data - so I’m not expecting to see anything to confirm it. But I’m pretty certain it’ll be the case.