Not sure you actually watch footy if you even remotely think those changes are a 0.1% chance of happening.
Well, I both watch footy and also remotely think. In fact most of us are thinking remotely at the moment.
I'm not sure whether or not those changes are a 0.1% chance of happening, but it seems an oddly specific threshold you've chosen.
As always, I think we can all agree that this thread is not about predicting changes, rather suggesting what we would do.
Think about it this way, Bolton is an upgrade on Castagna. Prestia is an upgrade on Lambert (right now). So, at worst, we are a better side than last week.
Or you can think about it another way. The two most commonly suggested outs are Aarts and Ross. I think it's a reasonable suggestion that Aarts is playing better footy than George.
As much as we've all accepted that George is untouchable, as a pressure forward, Aarts has averaged more goals, more tackles, and goes at 75% vs 62% disposal efficiency.
The eye test also says not only has he had a better year, but Aarts is currently in better form. I don't see why it's such an out there suggestion.
Similarly, Ross is in better form than Lambert.
We'll most likely make our selections based on reputation, and going into a finals series, that makes sense.
But I won't ever forget that in last year's grand final, we selected M. Pickett because he was the player in the best form, most deserving of a spot.