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AFL Betting Thread
- Thread starter palmyscum
- Start date
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easy_tiger
Guest
A few weeks back, I took some grandfinal insurance.
I had $250 to $2500 on tigers to make the GF. So I can go and live it up a bit if we happen to make it.
anyway, took a look at my account today, just to check some odds , and noticed a 'cash out' icon flashing at me.
I guessed it was the bookies offering to buy their way out of my GF bet, maybe offering to split the difference of the odds decrease (tigers into $6 for GF now).
I estimated, they were gonna offer me $400'ish to reduce their risk, which I would have smirked at, and clicked the 'get *smile* you filthy *smile*' button
The Cash Out value of a $250 to $2500 bet, thats now $416 to $2500?
$247! So if I fork out $3, the bookie will tear up my ticket thats nearly doubled in value :headscratch
The *smile* are essentially acting as pawn brokers now.
The world has become a very strange place.
I imagined my grandad on his honeymoon at Moonee Valley in the 40's. He has a quid on a horse at 10's, and it looms up to the leader at the top of the straight and a bookie taps him on the shoulder and goes
"if you give me a shilling, I'll give you your quid back and tear up the ticket"
I had $250 to $2500 on tigers to make the GF. So I can go and live it up a bit if we happen to make it.
anyway, took a look at my account today, just to check some odds , and noticed a 'cash out' icon flashing at me.
I guessed it was the bookies offering to buy their way out of my GF bet, maybe offering to split the difference of the odds decrease (tigers into $6 for GF now).
I estimated, they were gonna offer me $400'ish to reduce their risk, which I would have smirked at, and clicked the 'get *smile* you filthy *smile*' button
The Cash Out value of a $250 to $2500 bet, thats now $416 to $2500?
$247! So if I fork out $3, the bookie will tear up my ticket thats nearly doubled in value :headscratch
The *smile* are essentially acting as pawn brokers now.
The world has become a very strange place.
I imagined my grandad on his honeymoon at Moonee Valley in the 40's. He has a quid on a horse at 10's, and it looms up to the leader at the top of the straight and a bookie taps him on the shoulder and goes
"if you give me a shilling, I'll give you your quid back and tear up the ticket"
easy said:
Good stuff easy and a good bet. I'd imagine it will be a humongous hangover if that gets up. Good luck.
I had a good collect on the nags earlier on this year and as is my want had a few celebratory drinks. The next day I checked the account and i'd had a few bets on the Coleman medal. I won't tell you the stupid ones
, but one I will tell you about ;D is Ben Brown I'm on him at $151, hes into $4.50 now 
I backed Josh Kennedy at $5.50 last weekend, he would have won by the length of the Flemington straight if hadn't got injured.
Tiger Rob said:
I'm not a fan of the cash out. If Dusty wasn't so short I'd say back him as well.
It goes against my mug punter mentality to say cash out, but if you did, I'd couple him up in a multi with some one to win the Coleman medal, or the like. Good luck.
Tiger Rob said:
Hold on. Dusty could easily get rubbed out. Or he could play a bit softer and not poll as well in the final rounds. Sure, the cash-out value might diminish but it's more likely to increase by the end of rd 23.
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easy_tiger
Guest
strange bookmaker fact #15346889
Callum Mills is half the price of Alex Rance for the Norm Smith :headscratch
Callum Mills is half the price of Alex Rance for the Norm Smith :headscratch
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easy_tiger
Guest
Ok fellas, ive studies the form.
Hawks play uncontested footy and need to kick more than 10 goals to win.
we play contested footy, and generally stop sides kicking 10 goals.
On a wet track, you dont need to be Leysy to predict this one.
load up on tigers under 39.5, and take a slice of us making the GF to cover your late september expenses.
Cats lose tonight (no danger), Gws lose tommorow (no Patton or cameron), we win Sunday
placing us 2nd on the ladder, meaning the bookies will be unable to offer any more luxurious futures odds.
Hawks play uncontested footy and need to kick more than 10 goals to win.
we play contested footy, and generally stop sides kicking 10 goals.
On a wet track, you dont need to be Leysy to predict this one.
load up on tigers under 39.5, and take a slice of us making the GF to cover your late september expenses.
Cats lose tonight (no danger), Gws lose tommorow (no Patton or cameron), we win Sunday
placing us 2nd on the ladder, meaning the bookies will be unable to offer any more luxurious futures odds.
