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AFL Betting Thread
- Thread starter palmyscum
- Start date
Best bet this weekend is the Dogs @ $1.85 v Cats (would be $1.40 at any other ground). Another worth considering is our reserves v Williamstown. Can't find any odds for that game yet but imagine we'll be overs. The last four weeks we have played Sandy, Footscray, Port and Box Hill - arguably the best four sides in it - while in the past fortnight they have beaten up the two weakest teams, Nth Ballarat and Coburg. I expect $3 will be available. Their home ground advantage is significant though, especially if the wind gets up, so I will take a closer look on the day.
jb03 said:
The result on both 4 leg multi's $2.71 & 8.76 is better than if I just put the Crows, Pies and Dockers in a 3 leg multi at $2.24.
Edit
Actually jb03 you are correct it is marginal, but you are right.
Being the mug punter that I am I had never taken the time to work it out mathematically.
I've been doing well on the multi's of late, to think I good have been doing just that little bit better.
tigerman said:
Leysy posted a link to a good article on multis which show how good they are for the bookies. Essentially, if bookies are offering $1.90 on two even money shots, the double should be $1.90 x $2.00 but they of course give you $1.90 x $1.90. So $3.61 when it should be $3.80. Each subsequent leg similarly impacts negatively.
Too true!
Leysy might have found an edge tonight.
There was a heap of rain forecast, it has nearly all missed and will continue to judging by the radar.
Total Points currently sitting at 150.5.
Should be 25 more.
Overs.
Leysy might have found an edge tonight.
There was a heap of rain forecast, it has nearly all missed and will continue to judging by the radar.
Total Points currently sitting at 150.5.
Should be 25 more.
Overs.
E
easy_tiger
Guest
Now 158.5. Dogs' last three games have been under that, all Geelong's games have been over. Guthrie out and $1.96 the Dogs available at Luxbet!Leysy Days said:
Devon Smith now out. Heard before they only have 29 available this week. We're a chance.easy said:
E
easy_tiger
Guest
If i betted live, I'd go in on the dogs now at $4. Cats cant maintain this intensity, and they are bursting at the seams with plodders.
Spook certainly hopes your right. ;D
Leysy doesnt give a *smile*. So long as they kick goals!
Leysy doesnt give a *smile*. So long as they kick goals!
