Heres my betting preview for tonights game for those that are interested
Preview
Tonights game at the Telstra Dome, Geelong vs Essendon sees a side desperate for a win up against a side thats lost 9 in a row and already looking at draftpics with minds set on 2006/2007.
Geelong have been fast starters all year winning 8 of their 10 first quarters but seem to go down hill after that, they got upto a 54 point lead last week half way through the 3rd quarter vs the Eagles before it all come crashing down to lose by 3 points and have only won 1 of their last 8 games.
Essendons form is even worse not having a win since opening round with this could be their 10th straight loss. Last week in Adelaide they had an absolute flogging by 138 points and lost to port by 60 points at home as favourites.
Both teams are really struggling to get a reasonable score on the board geelong not cracking the 100 since round 2 and essendon since round 1.
The lines set at -26.5 which is quite high for 2 low scoring teams, Essendon have been able to keep their losses to reasonable margins against all the weaker vic sides.
I think Geelong will win tonight but dont see any value whatsoever at there current odds and the lines to high. Bbut since they are such fast starters and essendon so poor im going to take the Cats to lead at every break @ $1.95
1 unit Gee-Gee-Gee-Gee @ $1.95
High Goalscorer Value
Hard to see a winner in this market tonight as both teams dont really have a big name forward kicking regular bags this year.
In amatch like this 3 or 4 goals should top the goalscorers
For Essendon Scotty Lucas is the most likely to be able to kick a few with 4 times this year his been able to kick atleast 3 his paying $6.50 in this match.
Geelong seem to share there goals around alot more then most teams and my pick this week is to go wit small forward Chappy. He been in great form of late and always chips in with a couple of goals so will be looking forward to this game up against some weaker opposition.
Value: Paul Chapman $6.50
Most Disposals Value
Most Disposals this week is between the following players ( Corey 3.75, ling 4.25, J Johnson 6.50, Ablett 6.50, Milburn 7.00, Lovett Murray 7.00, Johnson 7.00, McVeigh 8.00 )
Not going into to much detail into this one tonight as have my mind up without to much thought on Joel Corey tonight.
Watched this guy last week and he is an absolute champion and is so underated week in week out he does his job. Coming off a 36 possesion game against the Eagles last week and averaging 26 possies this year and being even more dominant in their wins. Doesnt have to bad of a past vs the Dons either racking up another 36 last time they met.
Value: Joel Corey $3.75
