I don’t bet that much on horses. Although I’ve dipped in the last 3 weeks due to boredom. Won’t get into it now, but don’t think it’s the greatest “form” of betting to use a pun. For a host of reasons, I much prefer H2H events between humans. I will revert to AFL and some other sports from Thursday onwards when The Abyss finishes, and Season of Redford 2024 commences. Follow me in Moops. If Joking Faces had of last year, he’d be able to afford that pink Bentley for his mistress.
But when I do bet on horses, I like to give myself the best chance possible chance by following certain betting fundamentals that most of the pros apply. One of those is putting a bet down at the last possible moment. To that end, you don’t want me bombarding the thread 1 minute before the jump 10 times over like I would have had to on Saturday. And I’m too busy drinking beer and trying to guide numpter mates to bother anyway.
Just as an extension of that, whilst it’s fun and I get it, making long range tips is fraught with danger. Especially with horses. Besides knowing form and prices, you want to know absolutely everything you possibly can before staking. That’s why that big syndicate in Sydney and other big pro punters go in late so often, because they’re taking into account all last minute information. They have spotters at the mounting yard, are waiting to see how the horse goes to the barriers, track conditions that may change, market movements (ie value plays) and so on.
Never was there a better example of this on Saturday. Race 3 I figured was between Big Watch and Master Montaro. I was ready to go with BW. MM went ballistic in the barriers, got pulled out, so I quickly increased my stake on BW before Sportsbet had any time to adjust prices, hoping MM might be withdrawn, or at least be so fizzed up as to provide a bit more of a leg up for BW. BW won, MM finished 3rd. Who knows if it was the difference, but at least I was fully informed right up until the jump and used it at my discretion.
