Brayshaw is an interesting one. Melbourne have got to have at least half their cap tied up in Gawn, Petracca, Oliver, Lever, May, Viney and Brown. With Jackson out of contract and fielding mega offers from out west that doesn’t leave much left for the rest of the list.
Surely, they start losing players like we did?
Funnily enough I'd hope they keep Brayshaw on a fairly good contract.
The one we should be targeting is Oliver. Out of contract at the end of 2023 (RFA), he'll be 26 at that time and a lot of our bigger contracts will be expiring. Even Dusty would only be contracted for 1 more year and Lynch for 2 more, so we would have plenty to offer him a very big contract, even if it were back ended. If we progress the list well over the next year, bring in players like Sonsie, MRJ (more), Banks, Clarke, Brown adding them to the likes of Shai, Short, Vlastuin, Graham, Dan Rioli, Balta, Gibcus etc, we could have a strong core there, that Oliver could take to the next level.
I'd think we'd be in a position to pay him $800k-$1m within our cap, even if it were backended.
This is the way that you refresh your list on the fly IMO. Use the draft to draft top quality players and then add through free agency. If we can offer Oliver both the cash and the prospect of further success (through our onfield performance over the coming year or so) then he might be tempted to move. Bear in mind that by the end of 2023, Ben Brown will be 32, Gawn nearly 33, May 32, Tom McDonald 32, Viney 30 and a whole heap of their other players 28-29. He may feel that the time would be right to close that chapter, as I feel Melbourne are likely to drop like a stone, they will be a strong for a few more years yet, but they will hit the cliff like many of us have seen to an extent with us. If our cliff is shallow (as it potentially could be with the type of talent we are seeing from our younger group) then we may be a very enticing prospect for someone like Oliver at the end of 2023.
I'd still love us to add talent like Tanner Bruhn (with either ours or Norths 2nd) this year but target the big money player the year after. Hopper is also available but clearly Oliver should be target number 1.