What kind of trade gets Tarranto and Hopper across the line? Frankly, I can’t see how the Tigers get both done. Thoughts?
I know its not an exact science but its a guide - the points system.
Similar trades are probably Prestia and Cerra.
Prestia was almost 24 when he was traded for Pick 6 and a swap of 2nds. I don't think at the time anyone expected us to win the premiership in 2017 but would likely bounce back into finals, so I used Pick 30 swapped for Pick 24. Value of those points was 1595 or around Pick 8.
Cerra was almost 23 when he was traded for Pick 6 and a future 3rd, I think people thought they would be around the edge of finals so I'll use their exact Pick 46. Value of that trade was 2082 (or around Pick 4). I personally feel this was probably overs, but also accounting for Cerra being a year younger than Prestia.
We have Taranto thats nearly 25 and Hopper will be about 26 when next season starts, so both should depreciate in value from the Prestia / Cerra deals.
Taranto probably similar value to Dion in terms of the player but slight depreciation due to age. Dion was traded for essentially Pick 8, so lets say around Pick 10 is fair.
Hopper isn't as good IMO as Dion and doesn't have the flexibility that Taranto has, and is another year older so IMO again depreciated. I think he's worth around Pick 15 personally.
Pick 10 + Pick 15 in terms of the points system is around 2,507 points.
Out Pick 12, 19 and next years 1st (lets assume min value at pick 18) amounts to 3,201. As out picks are lower than their value, then this balances some of this out, due to value of pick offered (obviously a big difference between a top 10 and a 12-15 pick).
I personally can't see us paying more than 12, 19 and a future 1st. I'd think we'd get something back in that deal. Maybe the 2 late 50's pick we will get back.
No way we give up 2 1sts for Taranto and a top 10 for Hopper. What precedent is that backed up by? Nothing.