Apparently Collingwood are in "red hot" form and the team to beat for the flag (already? so early!). Haven't watched any of their games. So no idea about them.
Like every week, just wanting the Tiges to have a fair dinkum crack.
The rest is in the lap of the footy gods.
Looking forward to the contest, on so many levels.
Richmond by nine points. A Cotch.
The Pies have been good, but gee the media love to build clubs up for a fall. 1st Melbourne in Rd 1 ("they won't lose a game this year" - lose the following week) and now the Pies. The media are making out like they are some sort of runaway steam train that will win the next 5 flags at a canter.
They beat Geelong in Round 1 when they over ran them in the final quarter (the Pies are very fit), and last week they flogged Port. I'd say every single team in the comp would win by at least 10 goals when you win contested possession by 57. What were Port doing, couldn't win the footy and the Pies still laid 17 more tackles than them. Definition of witches hats!!
The Pies form guide is hard to tell. Were they amazingly good last week and replicate it, or were Port that bad. They went from smashing the Lions in CP by about 35, to losing that stat to the Pies by 57!! Remarkable turnaround.
If you match them in the middle, win our fair share of the ball at the contest and control posession then we will score. They score well from relatively low levels of Inside 50's due the speed on the ball, so we need to slow that. They smashed Port last week but still only had 57 Inside 50's (+10). They scored 30 times in those 57 Inside 50's (21 of them goals). Thats largely unheard of, goals per inside 50 at 37%!! AFL average last year was 23% with a range of 20% to 26% showing how much Port were a bunch of witches hats last week.
We need to make sure that we compete a lot better at the contest and in the tackle. Do that, and we are certainly good enough to win the game tonight. Breakeven at CP, breakeven in Inside 50's, I'd back our forward line to score well. Last week we scored goals at 33% per Inside 50 so not that far off the Pies and we played a much more competitive opponent.