Everyone will get coronavirus, virologist warns as Scott Morrison activates pandemic plan
Geoff Chambers
The Australian
February 27, 2019
Scott Morrison has moved ahead of international health authorities to activate a pandemic plan, as one of Australia’s leading virologists declared everyone will eventually contract coronavirus, but for most it will be no worse than a bad cold.
The Prime Minister warned on Thursday that the threat of the virus was “very much upon us”, saying the government was triggering preparations for fever clinics, aged-care home lockdowns and increased medical stockpiles.
University of Queensland professor Ian Mackay said it was unrealistic to expect that the COVID-19 virus could be contained. All countries should prepare for how they would manage an influx of cases, he said.
“It doesn’t look like this virus is ever going to go back in its box,” Professor Mackay said.
“And so we’re likely to have the virus become what we call an endemic virus, or a virus that’s just with us for life.
“We already have four of these coronaviruses, mostly causing colds. We get them every year. They peak during winter but they still move around between us during the rest of the year as well. So it’s likely this might become one of those.”
Professor Mackay said if that was the case, “at some point in the coming months or years we’re all going to get infected because we’ve all been infected by these other endemic viruses”.
“We know that they just spread among us,” he said.
The government’s emergency response plan will give sweeping powers to federal and state governments to contain the virus if outbreaks occur, similar to those in Iran, Italy, Japan and South Korea.
The Prime Minister flagged “very significant economic implications” as the health crisis escalated and will implement Treasury stimulus plans to support affected sectors.
Mr Morrison, who clashed with Anthony Albanese after accusing the Opposition Leader of playing politics with the crisis, said the states and territories needed to fill any gaps in their pandemic plans and ramp up preparations for a potential community outbreak.
“We believe that the risk of a global pandemic is very much upon us and, as a result, as a government, we need to take the steps necessary to prepare for such a pandemic,” Mr Morrison said.
The emergency response was accelerated as the rate of coronavirus transmission outside China rapidly increased over a 24-hour period. There are now more than 82,000 cases of coronavirus as the outbreak worsened, with more than 1700 people with the disease in South Korea and more than 450 cases in Italy.
US President Donald Trump also ramped up his coronavirus response, instructing Vice-President Mike Pence to lead operations to combat the disease.
Mr Morrison, who held a three-hour national security committee of cabinet meeting on Thursday morning, said Josh Frydenberg and Treasury secretary Steven Kennedy were working on economic strategies that were “targeted, modest and scalable”.
After extending the travel ban on foreign nationals travelling to Australia from China for another week, Mr Morrison said the government was examining plans to support the tourism, education, marine and export sectors, and how best to address “supply chain breakdowns”.
Health Minister Greg Hunt will meet state and territory counterparts on Friday to formalise the roles of both levels of government if a pandemic hits Australia.
“We are doing all of that work across medical stockpile, personal protective equipment, supply chain, in particular personnel,” Mr Hunt said.
“One of the things we’re most focused on is to make sure that we have the personnel capacity if there is a surge within our hospitals and medical system.”
The emergency response plan provides a blueprint for states and territories on how to deal with a coronavirus outbreak.
It also details pandemic scenarios, including the most severe in which hospitals will be forced to divert resources away from blood and diagnostic services to deal with the outbreak.
Under the plan’s implementation, Mr Hunt, Education Minister Dan Tehan and Home Affairs Minister Peter Dutton will be given more power to co-ordinate multi-government efforts to contain any coronavirus pandemic.
There will be additional screenings at airports for flights from multiple countries and contingency plans will be set up for aged-care facilities, including locking them down in the event of an outbreak. Medical stockpiles will be prepared for a pandemic and there will be efforts to ensure medical professionals have the necessary protective equipment.
Mr Hunt would not say whether the states would now have powers to recall medical professionals from leave to staff hospitals, but said it would be likely part of further COAG discussions.
Preparing for a significant budget shock in May, Mr Morrison said the breakdown in supply chains and travel across multiple sectors would “have a very real effect” on the economy. “Already, coronavirus has taken more lives than SARS and MERS put together but the mortality rate on both of those previous conditions were much higher,” he said.
Mr Morrison said calls from economists and industry leaders for “broader larger fiscal stimulus-type responses” was not the advice the government was receiving from Treasury.
Despite being under pressure from the universities sector to allow some Chinese students into Australia, Mr Morrison said the one-week travel ban approved by the national security committee did not include “carve-outs” and would be reviewed next Thursday.
Labor had earlier refused to grant Mr Morrison, Mr Hunt and other national security committee ministers pairings in the House of Representatives, resulting in the meeting being interrupted on seven occasions.
Expressing disappointment in Mr Albanese’s comments following question time, Mr Morrison rejected the Labor leader’s claim that briefings had not been made available to opposition MPs.
Mr Hunt said there was a coronavirus briefing for opposition health spokesman Chris Bowen and Mr Albanese on Wednesday, which the Opposition Leader did not attend. Mr Albanese delivered a speech at a National Rugby League event around the same time as the briefing.
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So we just allow it to spread? Not fight it like China? Do a lay down Sally?
Is it maybe better to get it early, before medical resources are at capacity?