Love your matchups Phanto.
A couple of Obs. If Kouta's fit he is arguably the best inside midfielder in the land. I agree with Jackson as the first chioice matchup. I'd like to see him aim to play inside the old bloke at the stoppages and run off him hard, forward and into the corridor (usually) when we're in posession. If Kouta starts creaming us at the stoppages (as he did to the very young Cogs last time they met) we may need to double team him, set traps, push him backwards, all the usual stuff. Or we could go with an all running midfield (No Cogs, Johnson, Campbell, Krakouer, Bowden. Jeez, that's a lot who can't run isn't it?)
Tivendale gave Stevens a towelling last time they met (N.S. playing for Port at the time). Stevens is not a player who has responded well to close tagging in the past and I'd be confident that either of Tivver or Hyde would slap him. I'd actually start Tivver on Stevens and Hyde on Camporeale.
You've got to be careful with Lappin. The willo'thewisp can get under your guard. Pagan sets him on slow opponents with a view to exploiting their lack of pace. Pagan's first choice opponent for Lappin will be Campbell. (He will increasingly be the preferred match up for opposition runners.) All the fresh youngsters should be briefed to HUNT DOWN Lappin. He won't survive the pressure.
The Tiges enjoy a big advantage in the spine. Fevola is a leading player and a beautiful kick from 50m. His paddock is closed for the day. Let's see him take a mark if there's someone else in the area. Midfielders and HFF'S to push back to Fevola's flanks to shut them down. Make him play inside the arc. Gaspar will beat him there.
DeIuca is a risk. Has had his moments against Hall in the past and Gaspar has always struggled against quicker leading LARGE forwards. Hmm...Archibald? Hall first choice. Plan B needs work.
Up the other end Carlton has no-one who can go with Richo. If he plays FF Pagan will double team him, crowd his lanes, the usual. He'd destroy any of them one out with any supply. Let Stafford and Simmonds rotate at full forward. They must play Prendergast at full back then (Livingston and Thornton way too small). Their plan B will probably be Thornton. OK. Let Richo run around at HF. They can't crowd or double team him there and he will dominate any of their options. If they try Teague in either of the KP's we know they are out of options. Cool the tinnies.
One more note. In the past Pagan has matched up Fisher, Lappin, Waite, blokes who are too light and weak for KP on Richmond's slow midfielders (plenty to choose from in the past). They run off their counterparts and each is good enough to take a mark close to the traffic in the forward line. This is bludging and is not to be tolerated. If our midfielders are too slow or important to man up on these lepers, they can practice it at the City Oval. Aim: No goals from this trio.
The main worry is supply- the midfield. If we could get 46% of the play, we'd win this game.