Re: Can Richmond challenge again in 2022?
The Run Home: Where every AFL club will finish on the ladder, and who’ll play finals
Max Laughton
Fox Sports
June 20th, 2022
6. RICHMOND (8-5, 117.8%)
Remaining games
Round 15: Geelong Cats at the MCG
Round 16: West Coast Eagles at the MCG
Round 17: Gold Coast Suns at Metricon Stadium
Round 18: North Melbourne at Marvel Stadium
Round 19: Fremantle at Marvel Stadium
Round 20: Brisbane Lions at the MCG
Round 21: Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval
Round 22: Hawthorn at the MCG
Round 23: Essendon at the MCG
Historic chance of playing finals from current record: 79%
Remaining fixture difficulty: 4th-easiest
Here come the Tigers, with six wins from their last seven games, and every chance they’ll make that nine from 11 at the very least.
With six games left against bottom 10 sides, it’d be a surprise if Damien Hardwick’s men didn’t reach that 13-win mark that looks like the minimum to play finals in 2022.
Really, they could be dreaming of a top-four berth, as they get Geelong, Fremantle and Brisbane all in Melbourne making those games quite a bit easier.
A 15-win season is within reach, if the Tigers continue to play at their recent level. And in particular if they beat Geelong, that’s likely to be enough for the double chance.
Fox Footy’s projection: 13.35 projected wins, finishing 7th
PROJECTED FINAL LADDER
1. Brisbane Lions (15.45 projected wins)
2. Melbourne (15.05)
3. Fremantle (15)
4. Geelong Cats (14.7)
5. Carlton (13.6)
6. Sydney Swans (13.5)
7. Richmond (13.35)
8. Collingwood (12.7)
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9. St Kilda (12.65)
10. Western Bulldogs (11.9)
11. Gold Coast Suns (11.85)
12. Port Adelaide (10.55)
13. Hawthorn (8.3)
14. Adelaide Crows (8 )
15. GWS Giants (7.8 )
16. Essendon (6.85)
17. North Melbourne (3.4)
18. West Coast Eagles (3.25)
PROJECTED WEEK 1 OF FINALS
First Qualifying Final (1st hosts 4th): Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats at the Gabba
First Elimination Final (5th hosts 8th): Carlton vs Collingwood at the MCG
Second Elimination Final (6th hosts 7th): Sydney Swans vs Richmond at the SCG
Second Qualifying Final (2nd hosts 3rd): Melbourne vs Fremantle at the MCG
https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/af...e/news-story/da52e00eaee61d1bff6d3ccab331ec94