Look at free agency like this.
Anyone drafted to their club before 2004 will be eligible to move to a club of their choice in 2012. Players drafted in subsequent years will be free to do so as they complete their 8 years with a club.
Looking at our list, the likes of Moore, Newman, Jackson, Foley, Deledio, Tambling, McGuane, Thursfield, Polo and a few others who are likely to be gone by then are our only exposure. Several of the names mentioned might be as well, who knows.
Here’s the interesting part of how it will work. Clubs will have to nominate their “Top 10” each year. Should a rival approach one of their “top 10” they will have the right to match the offer and retain their player. Should a rival club approach someone outside of their “top 10” it will be “sayonara and thanks for the memories” if that player agrees to move.
Looking at our list above, it will not be hard for us to retain our free agents. We will probably have only five or six of these guys left, if that, and if we want to retain them they will be in our top 10. Remember, we will have a young list.
The following year, Graham and White are our only potential new free agents. Again, this should present no problems.
Now lets say, for the sake of the argument, by 2012-13 we have bullet-proofed our list, are cashed-up and decide to let the ferrets and blood-hounds loose on a bit of a free-agent stalkarama.
Our poor recruiting in the period 2001-2006 actually works in our favour. Any club that recruited well during this period may have 12-20 free agents. They will have a problem, due to salary cap and other constraints. Just because a player is "Top 10" doesn't mean they will be able to match all offers, there is still the matter of a salary cap.
There is a real opportunity for a smart operator to identify potential targets and ramp up the pressure on a couple of sitting ducks.
Just as a matter of interest, look at Hawthorn’s list of potential free agents. Hodge, Ladson, Brown, Franklin, Roughead, Bateman, Gilham, Mitchell, Lewis, Murphy, Osborne, Guerra, Young, Taylor and Sewell. In the second year they will be joined by Dowler, Ellis, Tuck, Muston, Bailey and Birchill. What if a club like Richmond made a play for five of their free agents at the same time? How could they deal with that?
That is a serious opportunity to pillage. And that is just one club.
Again, for the sake of the argument, let’s say Richmond finish last in 2010 and 2011. They will have two PSD picks which they could use to target 22-24 year olds from other clubs, in anticipation of free agency. Then they get the opportunity to add 3 -4 free agents in 2012. Meanwhile, they go to the drafts in 2010 and 2011 as planned, helping to keep space in their cap.
Any player who qualifies for free agency and is not considered a top 10 player by his club will be entertaining offers from anyone willing to make them. The beauty is that GC and GWS will have to reduce their lists and salary caps in 2012-13, pretty much taking them out of the equation as well.
I hope Gale and Hartley really go for this. It could be a once-in-lifetime chance to finally get this club back on track.