Thoroughbred racing | PUNT ROAD END | Richmond Tigers Forum
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Thoroughbred racing

jb03 said:
Let's try a safe option and go with the inform Mount Kilcoy - Caulfield Race 5 no.1 Because i am the master of fixed odds unders we'll just take the tote odds which should be around even money.

Pulled up lame jb.
 
Counting the sleeps till Kementari kicks of his spring on Saturday.

havnt been this sure of doubling my dough since autumn.

I reckon enough punters will outsmart themselves looking for value on Pierata that Kementari to jump better than $2.3 (could get $2.6?),

better than the evens on fixed at the moment. Hopefully he draws outside. Might even get $2.8?

Pierata has trialled really well (not as good as K, but mug punters love outsmarting themselves)

at Randwick, fresh, without that little *smile* Avdulla driving, running for a Godolphin Everest slot (why the hell didnt they buy one?), he will win by 3 lengths eased down.

Cummings has said K was over the hump 5th up in the Doncaster (kind to Avdulla, but yeah), so he's a fresh horse.

I will be emptying my safe, and then shoulder charging the door a couple of hours latter to get it shut.
 
Bernie said:
G’day Easy

How’s the forward planning with Special k for The Everest?


imhoihni.

I dont think its a race I'd bet on Bernie. If I did on the futures, I think I'd back Nature Strip (I reckon the ATC will give him their slot, I would).

Too many chances and timing would be hard to manage K's campaign?

he's first up this sat over 1200, 70 days before the Everest over 1200. what would they do? give him 3 runs in the next month out to a mile, and then freshen him?

If he was mine, I'd be aiming for The Epsom 4th up on GF day.

I know the Everest is worth $10m, but surely an Epsom mile would add more stud value?

Ive got a hunch he'll go to the Epsom peaking 4th up

Missile, Memsie, Makybe Diva, Epsom? I think he'll win 'em all except the MD against Winx and depending on how he was weighted in The Epsom (and If Avdulla isnt allowed within 200m of him).

also, I dont get why Godolphin havnt bought their own Everest slot? $600K is loose change. If they had their won slot, they could target the Epsom, and then have a crack at The Everest for the fun of it.

But as it stands, the slot owner will dictate his campaign, and it certainly wont include The Epsom.

what do you reckon?

edit: just saw this, with Godolphin confirming The Memsie as 'the fork in the road' - obviously left is The Epsom or right is the Everest are the two destinations. If they go left, it would be the Makybe Diva, if

they go right, youde reckon it would be The Rupert Clarke Sept 22 over 1400, then a 3 week freshen up for The Everest?

https://www.theaustralian.com.au/sport/turf-thoroughbreds/godolphin-play-waiting-game-with-kementari-and-the-everest/news-story/b63b4ebc108d40735626ac5aa20b23a7

the bookies think he's going left also I reckon, cause he's $11 for the Rupert Clarke, $7.50 for the Everest, and $6 for The Epsom.
 
ET, while I don’t believe Godolphin are lefties, I’m sure that when that fork in the road occurs in his prep, Kementari will head left towards the Epsom, albeit a handicap.

Last prep he won first up over 1200m. That’s Saturday’s task in the Missile.

But he cannot hang at that distance over the spring or come back to 1200m as was unsuccessfully tried with the Coolmore on derby day.

That was a beaut performance by crafty Tycoon at the farm today.
 
24 straight outs. If we were doubling up and started with $10, Leysy would be betting $85 million to try win $10 this week - no sh!t!

The Unco's is an extraordinary outfit.

this one to equal the counter-Winx record. Leysy up.

Leysy($0)

Tigerman($0)
Tigersnake($(0)
Spook($0)
STC ($0)
Elmer ($0)
Bernie ($0)
easy ($0)
44 ($10)
JB($0)

PREunco's -$230
 
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