Most likely outcome if we make top 4, which would most likely entail beating WC and Brisbane assuming the Pies win both their games. If they don't and we lose one, then we will still play Geelong in the QF as it is more likely that WC will beat Hawthorn and Geelong will beat Carlton.
Except Geelong are worst performed of the top 4 atm. 4 wins in their last 9 games. Carlton beat Brisbane and they're good chance of doing Geelong. West Coast beat Hawks by 1 goal. Anything can happen. Geelong winning would have guaranteed them top spot. Losing now opens up all sorts of scenarios. Anyhow it is what it is. First task to make top 4 then get that first final win and it then opens up for us.