Collingwood had played in a GF, Prelim and Semi-final prior to 2021. They were a good side in their prime that had a bad year. Similar to us in 2016.
Right now, we are a side that has finished 11th, 7th, 13th and likely bottom four this year. We are clearly on the decline. We have a hole in our list where the draft talent from 2018-2023 should be. Even if we absolutely knock the cover off the next draft, we are unlikely to see tangible results from those players for three or more years. In the mean time, our veterans will continue to decline in output and retire/be traded off.
Unless we see a massive improvement in 18-24 year olds currently on our list we are staring down 4-5 years minimum before we will be a finalist again.
History suggests that coaches and new coaches in particular, do not last that long without success.