AFL Betting Thread | PUNT ROAD END | Richmond Tigers Forum
  • IMPORTANT // Please look after your loved ones, yourself and be kind to others. If you are feeling that the world is too hard to handle there is always help - I implore you not to hesitate in contacting one of these wonderful organisations Lifeline and Beyond Blue ... and I'm sure reaching out to our PRE community we will find a way to help. T.

AFL Betting Thread

Anyone got any Brownlow tips?

Just had a look then. Put a little bit on Priddis top 5 @ $10 and Fyfe top 5 @ $26. Reckon both are value.
 
Barnzy said:
Anyone got any Brownlow tips?

Just had a look then. Put a little bit on Priddis top 5 @ $10 and Fyfe top 5 @ $26. Reckon both are value.

Not a fan of either of those. Liking quinellas involving Pendlebury and anyone other than Judd. Pendlebury/Murphy at $21.

Don't mind Petrie to win North's count at $15.
 
scottyturnerscurse said:
Not a fan of either of those. Liking quinellas involving Pendlebury and anyone other than Judd. Pendlebury/Murphy at $21.

Don't mind Petrie to win North's count at $15.

Priddis polled 13 votes last year from only 19 games. Played 22 this year, West coast won 13 more games. Very consistent and probably had a slightly better year. Plenty of opportunities for votes. No really superstar midfielder to take votes. Cox might take some votes. That's the logic anyways. I liked the $10.

Don't mind Petrie bet. I'd rate him as at least a 30% chance to poll most votes for North but at those odds a little nibble might be nice. Would be steering clear of any quinella that doesn't involve Judd. Murphy and Pendlebury might've had better years but the umpires love him. Although I guess it's still a big possibility he still gets a lot of votes but misses out on a top 2 finish.
 
Barnzy said:
Priddis polled 13 votes last year from only 19 games. Played 22 this year, West coast won 13 more games. Very consistent and probably had a slightly better year. Plenty of opportunities for votes. No really superstar midfielder to take votes. Cox might take some votes. That's the logic anyways. I liked the $10.

Don't mind Petrie bet. I'd rate him as at least a 30% chance to poll most votes for North but at those odds a little nibble might be nice. Would be steering clear of any quinella that doesn't involve Judd. Murphy and Pendlebury might've had better years but the umpires love him. Although I guess it's still a big possibility he still gets a lot of votes but misses out on a top 2 finish.

Priddis polled well last year, no doubt but I see Cox, Kerr and Embley taking a few off him this year. I think Priddis will still poll well and win WC's count but can't see him getting ahead of Pendlebury, Murphy, Judd, Dal Santo, Boyd and Goodes. But, as you say, $10 is probably a little value and hope you get up.
 
Betstar just put up groups

THOMPSON, S (ADEL) 2.50
WATSON, J (ESS) 3.25
BLACK, S (BRIS) 4.25
EMBLEY, A (WCE) 5.25
WELLS, D (NM) 11.00

GOODES, A (Syd) 2.35
PENDLEBURY, S (COLL) 3.25
MITCHELL, S (Haw) 4.00
MURPHY, M (CAR) 8.00
SWAN, D (COLL) 11.00

Don't mind Thompson and Mitchell in those. More keen on Thompson though
 
What are everyone's thoughts on most votes for Richmond in the Brownlow? An article in the Heraldsun today said Martin had been backed off the map to get the most votes for us and Cotchin's odds had therefore blown out. Based on the B & F votes I would have thought Cotchin should be favourite but obviously the umpires and the coaches will give votes based on different things that they see. I've got Cotch getting 12-14 votes and Martin 10-12. Sportsbet yesterday had Cotch at $2.15 so I've had a nibble at that.

http://www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/afl/adam-goodes-in-the-hunt-for-a-second-brownlow-medal/story-fn422eni-1226143948208
 
There's a new punters friend in town and it is Ross Lyon at Fremantle. Brought his low scoring style with him so jump on the Freo games with the total match score below the even money spread (usually around 180 points).
 
Herald Sun's Mark Stevens tipped Talia for the Rising Star in June. Said he was a steal at 50-1. Bookies were crunched as he was backed into odds-on. According to his Twitter feed, Stevens didn't follow his own advice.
 
Can anyone explain how line betting works?

I want to back Sydney to win by more than 8.5 points, but it looks here they`re only offering under 8.5.


1704

Collingwood +8.5

1714

Sydney -8.5
 
michael roach said:
Can anyone explain how line betting works?

I want to back Sydney to win by more than 8.5 points, but it looks here they`re only offering under 8.5.


1704

Collingwood +8.5

1714

Sydney -8.5

my understanding on line betting is,

Coll +8.5-- you collect if, Coll win or if coll lose by under 8.5pts.

Syd -8.5-- you collect if, Syd win by 9 pts or more, if sydney win by 8 pts or under, you lose.
 
Tommo37 said:
my understanding on line betting is,

Coll +8.5-- you collect if, Coll win or if coll lose by under 8.5pts.

Syd -8.5-- you collect if, Syd win by 9 pts or more, if sydney win by 8 pts or under, you lose.

Correct.

Quite a simple system once you get your head around it.
 
michael roach said:
Can anyone explain how line betting works?

I want to back Sydney to win by more than 8.5 points, but it looks here they`re only offering under 8.5.


1704

Collingwood +8.5

1714

Sydney -8.5

You can pick your own line on, I think, Centrebet, sportsbet.com.au and Luxbet.
 
Who are we on for the Granny?

I jumped on either team under 15.5 points at $2.75. Also Jude Bolton at 31/1 and Kennedy at 6.50/1 for the Norm Smith.
 
tannerztigers said:
Who are we on for the Granny?

I jumped on either team under 15.5 points at $2.75. Also Jude Bolton at 31/1 and Kennedy at 6.50/1 for the Norm Smith.

Sydney way overs IMO.
 
tannerztigers said:
Who are we on for the Granny?

I jumped on either team under 15.5 points at $2.75. Also Jude Bolton at 31/1 and Kennedy at 6.50/1 for the Norm Smith.

Bolton gone from 41 to 15 today