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"2009 Official PRE Draft thread'
- Thread starter U2Tigers
- Start date
How he is still avaliable .... I do not know....
Andrew Raines!
Played every game in 06 and 07 averaging 19 disposals a game off the back flank. A golden pick up to squeeze into Tannerz XXII.
Andrew Raines!
Played every game in 06 and 07 averaging 19 disposals a game off the back flank. A golden pick up to squeeze into Tannerz XXII.
There is actually a player or two left who came in the top 10 of their club’s b&F, but I’m going to go for a potential pick, a guy who you have to like his style of play if you saw him as a junior.
Veszpremi, Patrick
Veszpremi, Patrick
The interesting point to make here is that although we have had the FULL list of AFL players available, which includes Rookies, the observation is that when one gets to picks in the early 20s the list of truly ACTIVE players declines dramatically.
So, full AFL lists are around 44, yet only 21/22 of these are regular ACTIVE players. The rest are part-time / development players.
This also is very consistent with studies done that indicate an extremely positive skew in player success rates, ie, that a more than normal proportion of players drafted just DON'T make it as regular players.
By normal, I mean within the confines of a normal distribution, because it is NOT a normal distribution.
So, full AFL lists are around 44, yet only 21/22 of these are regular ACTIVE players. The rest are part-time / development players.
This also is very consistent with studies done that indicate an extremely positive skew in player success rates, ie, that a more than normal proportion of players drafted just DON'T make it as regular players.
By normal, I mean within the confines of a normal distribution, because it is NOT a normal distribution.
Phantom said:
Not sure how you figure that Phantom when all his stats where slighty better than Welshes before he got injured, which in goal kicking alone would have put him in the 40+ group, Top 20 scorers.
No doubt he is declining but half or 3/4's his best is still better than a lot of the small forwards being picked in the last half of this draft when injury free.
Phantom said:
It depends on what you population is Phato, they are normally distributed if you consider than the AFL players are just the very upper end of a huge bell cure of people who play Australian rules football. A positive skew is consistent when you consider that you are not sampling the whole bell cure, just one end of it.
Dyer Disciple said:
Sorry, without doing any research I’m taking Alex Rance because he’s a Tiger and he’s performance in the VFL suggest he’s something special.
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