To get 44 down to 35 and allow for two draftees, 11 would have to go.
If that was to include players who are contracted they would be entitled to be paid out in full, which rather defeats the purpose, Apart from that every player on any list would feel extremely vulnerable and react accordingly.
It won’t happen.
Instead only those players presently uncontracted will be looked at.
As I understand from Oldtigers list, ours are
Aarts
Broad
English
Graham
Garthwaite
Houli
Markov
Miller
Nankervis
Pickett
and Turner, with Rance having retired but kept on the list as a still contracted player.
There are several clubs, I believe Gold Coast is one, which already have more than 44 players on their list who are contracted beyond this season.
As I see it if the AFL were to insist on a reduction to 35 next year, there would be massive contractual difficulties, not to mention clubs planning also thrown into the fire.
Gil has always been a shmoozer. He negotiates solutions. He doesn’t impose them.
So I think it will instead turn out to be 38 players per list for the 2021 season and maybe 35 plus a supplementary list in the years to follow.
In addition to making room for 2 draftees next year, in 2 or so seasons we will have some salary space to reinvest, which very well might see us chase a this year out of contract pie.
If we follow that course 9 presently uncontacted players would have to be let go. Rance has to make up his mind, but if he returns as I think .... maybe only Graham and Pickett are re contracted with Broad with a strong chance of being redrafted.