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A Preseason Preview 2006- Part 6 of 16 - Brisbane

Dyer'ere

Pardon, but your tie is not symmetrical.
Sep 21, 2004
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This is one of the tough sides to gauge for 2006. We know what most of the players can do at their best but for all of 2005 and critical parts of 2004 many were too badly banged up to produce. Is the situation chronic?

This is what they got:

Jed Adcock
Jason Akermanis
Marucs Allan
Jayden Attard
Simon Black
Daniel Bradshaw
Jared Brennan
Jonathan Brown
Jamie Charman
Mitchell Clark
Robert Copeland
Anthony Corrie
Josh Drummond
Ben Fixter
Pat Garner
Richard Hadley
Rhan Hooper
Chris L Johnson
Clark Keating
Nigel Lappin
Justin Leppitsch (vet)
Joel MacDonald
Beau McDonald
Ashley McGrath
Daniel Merrett
Mal Michael
Wayde Mills
Matthew Moody
Tim Notting
Joel Patfull
Luke Power
Michael Rischitelli
Brad Scott
Chris Scott
Troy Selwood
Justin Sherman
Michael Voss (vet)
Cameron Wood

Rookies
Colm Begley (international)
Leonard Clark
Luke Forsyth
Will Hamill
Scott Harding
Marty Pask
Brendan Quigley (inter)
Jason Roe
Cheynee Stiller


When assessing Brisbane, you start with Michael Voss. Possibly one of the greatest players of all time, he has the hallmark of a champion- the harder it gets, the better he gets. But he's getting on and I don't know that he's got much cushion left in the bad knee. If he were a horse, he'd be carrying a copper by now.

Even in their heyday I'd say that Brisbane was a one man team. No Voss, no Brisbane. But I was probably too simplistic. Black is the other key. A 78kg inside ruckrover, Black is the key to supply, now. Of course, being so small, he is targeted by opposition sides, physically. And he's begun to succumb. He's the main man now. Voss is not the man he was. IF Black can be protected somehow while Brisbane accumulates enough wins to make the four, they can win the flag in another weak year.

So who's going to cover Black?

Brad Scott was doing the tagging job and a lot of the physical work inside in 2003 and 04. But he to has succumbed to injury. Can he come up?

Richard Hadley was working inside too, before the knee. Can he come up the very next year? Few do. He has mass, clean hands and grunt. But I doubt he'll come up in 2006.

Troy Selwood did some good work in 2005. But he's very light and playing inside. He's the first bloke I'd target next year. Can he stand up to it?

Luke Power won plenty of ball forward of the skirmishes, turned quickly and usually blazed. He's a star small forward but not much better than Hyde in the big games inside. I've gone off him a bit. I'd like to see him play HBF for a year to polish up his use. The fact is that Power was central in too many losing games. Not good enough.

Nige Lappin and Jason Akermanis are two of the finest outsde players in the land but who will get it to them?

There are more injury issues with this team. It's not stable. Will Keating play during the year? Will he be okay for the finals?

Will Leppitsch come up? He's near THE END.

Brown is a problem. One of the worst overhead marks in the comp, he could ill-afford a shoulder injury. Let's see.

Chris Scott is G-O-N-E.


Premiership Side:

FB- Vacancy, M.Michael, Vacancy
HB- C.Johnson, J.Leppitsch, Vacancy
C- J.Akermanis, S.Black, L.Power
HF- M.Voss, J.Brown, Vacancy
FF- D.Bradshaw, Vacancy, A.McGrath
R- C.Keating, N.Black, Vacancy
Int: J.Charman, T.Notting, T.Selwood, A.Corrie

It would be easy to say "Let's play Charman in the pocket and Bradshaw at full forward with McDonald as the reserve ruck" but this side gets top-heavy. I think that's the thing Sydeny has exposed over the years. They need more run.

So, where is it coming from?

Anthony Corrie can run. He played all his foty as a frightened outsider until he went mad and got his jaw broken. After that Lethal pumped up his tyres and AC started to believe his own publicity. Having got broken up on one of the few occasions when he went in, hilariously, his confidence issues bacame a thing of the past when he returned.

Selwood runs hard defensively and he could yet make a run-with player. He has no future inside IMO. But his offensive game is very limited.

Justin Sherman is one who could go either way. He was a precocious debutant, playing as a small forward, wide, on a flank. He would use his judgement and pace to get to the fall with smarts. It reamains to be seen whether he can shake an opponent.

Brennan is a leper.

Adcock and J.MacDonald have done some good jobs but mainly stopping. Are they the jey to Brisbane's demise? Not enough attack?

Drummond did well in losing teams. More vedence required.

Rischitelli showed some stuff.

Merrett is an interesting player. He's heavy and quick. Not a bad grab. Just a kid who could go either way. But I like him. Maybe. He plugs a big hole in their forward setup.

I'd have given Fixter a go. He's a baby and very quick. He can panic with the ball. Is it youth? He'll play senior footy for the 'Baners this year.

The fact is that if Black and Voss don't play in August and September, Brisbane is in strife. The Bears lack grunt in the middle and have other injury concerns in the spine with Leppitsch and Brown. They have no dominant man inside the arc.

If Merrett comes up and Voss and Black fire, with average luck, they could win the flag.
 
I strongly disagree with your judgment on J-Brown...He is a problem? and one of the worst overhead marks in the comp? Gee Whizz. Then you go on to say that Merrett is a good grab.
 
QPR_Richmond said:
I strongly disagree with your judgment on J-Brown...He is a problem? and one of the worst overhead marks in the comp? Gee Whizz. Then you go on to say that Merrett is a good grab.
"not a bad grab".
Yeah, generous. Youth. Rugger background.

Roger, QPR. I've put that Brown bit poorly. J.Brown's injury status is a problem. His overhead marking was a real issue BEFORE the shoulder. Shoulder injuries can have a dire impact on a marking player for a year or sometimes forever. He's a star when he can find space up the park but is likely to be put under a great deal more aerial pressure with a recovering shoulder. Let's see.

IMO, of the comp's tall forwards, he's the worst overhead mark. Worse than B.Hall. That's why he plays CHF. Up the park.

If he could take regular contested overhead marks , he could play closer to goal (say, centre-3/4-forward) for them which would take the pressure off the full-forward position (currently vacant) and give them a chance to play a more mobile forward line. ATM they play Brown wide and Bradshaw and Charman (when fit) or Merrett deep. It's a top heavy setup, IMO.
 
I understand what your saying about Jonathans overhead marking. Yet his influence on Brisbane when on was extraordinary. He plays a perfect CHF role is a leader and is tuff. If he can keep his body right i would have thought Brisbane could make the finals.
 
After some changes in 2005, Brisbane seem to have the same bunch of coaches as last year. Lethal still at the head, assisted by John Blakey, Craig Lambert & Daryn Cresswell. Shaun Rehn, I believe, is an addition after 2 years coaching in the SANFL. If you remember, Rehn recommended Shane Tuck to the Tigers.

Brisbane Ht Wt Age
Clark Keating 197 102 30
Justin Leppitsch 191 97 30 vet
Nigel Lappin 188 87 30
Michael Voss 183 86 30 vet
Chris Scott 182 90 30
Brad Scott 181 86 30
Chris Johnson 180 89 30
Mal Michael 190 99 29
Jason Akermanis 177 83 29
Daniel Bradshaw 191 91 27
Tim Notting 188 87 27
Simon Black 186 80 27
Beau McDonald 203 103 26
Luke Power 179 75 26
Robert Copeland 187 82 25
Ben Fixter 180 79 25 new
Jamie Charman 197 99 24
Jonathan Brown 195 99 24
Richard Hadley 190 88 23
Josh Drummond 188 84 23
Ashley McGrath 182 80 23
Leonard Clark 203 ? 22 Rookies
Jason Roe 191 87 22 Rookies
Troy Selwood 187 75 22
Anthony Corrie 186 72 22
Daniel Merrett 196 92 21
Jared Brennan 192 83 21
Joel MacDonald 186 77 21
Brendan Quigley 194 ? 20 Rookies
Marty Pask 191 97 20 Rookies
Joel Patfull 189 91 20 new
Will Hamill 189 71 20 Rookies
Jayden Attard 187 81 20
Matthew Moody 187 82 20
Cheynee Stiller 186 79 20 Rookies
Jed Adcock 184 82 20
Michael Rischitelli 183 72 20
Scott Harding 181 75 20 Rookies
Marcus Allan 180 73 20
Cameron Wood 204 90 19
Pat Garner 194 75 19
Luke Forsyth 187 77 19 Rookies
Colm Begley 184 ? 19 Rookies
Justin Sherman 183 85 19
Mitchell Clark 198 91 18 new
Wayde Mills 195 88 18 new
Rhan Hooper 177 71 18 new

Brisbane have a total list of 47. 38 on the senior list, including 2 vets and 5 newies, plus 7 rookies, including 2 boys from Ireland.
The first thing that hits you is that only 15 of the 47 players (31%) are below 185cm, and only 3 of these are under 180cm. The Lions used to be one of the quickest teams on the park, but with so few genuine quicks on this list, my gutfeel is that they now might be struggling for pace. We saw this in 2005. I think this will be more so in 2006.
They seem to have adjusted their age balance very well over the last 2 years with 16 players 25yo or over, and of these, 7 are 30yo and 2 are 29yo.
31 players are less than 25yo. One can see that Brisbane have set themselves for the future, but I still have a question mark over their height balance.

Now let's see how their list breaks up into a spread.
Twilight = 28+yo
Prime = 25-27yo
Development = 22-24yo
Junior = 18-21yo

<180 Small Runners
Twilight: Akermanis 29
Prime: Power 26
Development: 0
Junior: Hooper 18

180-184 Smaller Mediums
Twilight: Voss 30, C.Scott 30, B.Scott 30, Johnson 30
Prime: Fixter 25
Development: McGrath 23
Junior: Adcock 20, Rischitelli 20, Harding 20, Allan 20, Begley 19, Sherman 19

185-189 Taller Mediums
Twilight: Lappin 30
Prime: Notting 27, Black 27, Copeland 25
Development: Drummond 23, Selwood 22, Corrie 22
Junior: J.McDonald 21, Patfull 20, Hamill 20, Attard 20, Moody 20, Stiller 20, Forsyth 19

190-194 Mobile Key Position
Twilight: Leppitsch 30, Michael 29
Prime: Bradshaw 27
Development: Hadley 23, Roe 22
Junior: Brennan 21, Quigley 20, Pask 20, Garner 19

195-199 Key Position/ Ruck
Twilight: Keating 30
Prime: 0
Development: Charman 24, Brown 24
Junior: Merrett 21, M.Clark 18, Mills 18

200+ Ruck
Twilight: 0
Prime: McDonald 26
Development: L.Clark 22
Junior: Wood 19

So now I get the picture. And guess what, Lethal is doing it my way. I'm not being cocky here, but look at the spread. He's developed his talls and mediums, and I can guarantee you that in the 2006 & 2007 drafts, he'll be after the best runners/smalls that the juniors around Australia can offer.
That's it, remember how I've been saying that clicking time is smalls at 20, mediums at 22 and talls at 24, therefore you develop yout talls first, mediums second then smalls third so that they all hit at the same time? Well this is what Lethal is doing. I knew there was method in my madness, and to have Lethal thinking the same way is one of the greatest compliments.

Their coverage of positions is as follows:
B: Johnson 30 Michael 29           Hadley 23
Fixter 25         Pask 20             Roe 22
                                              Patfull 20
                                              Hamill 20

HB: Drummond 23        Leppitsch 30          B.Scott 30
Selwood 22            Quigley 20             McGrath 23
Begley 19                Mills 18             Attard 20

C: Notting 27     Voss 30             Copeland 25
Corrie 22         Adcock 20              J.McDonald 21
Stiller 20                                    Forsyth 19

HF: Lappin 30                Brown 24               Ackermanis 29
Moody 20                Merrett 21               Rischitelli 20
                           Garner 19

F: C.Scott 30               Bradshaw 27
                             Clark 18

R: Keating 30 Black 27                Power 26
B.McDonald 26 Brennan 21 Allan 20
Charman 24     Harding 20 Hooper 18
L.Clark 22         Sherman 19
Wood 19

So there you have it. A list of 47 certainly allows you the depth to develop heaps of youngsters.
Their first veneer of players look classy enough, but it's thin. Get past that first layer and there are some very big weaknesses in both experience and pace.
And this is the clue. The aim against Brissie is to run them off their feet because they have oldies in their major running positions.
I think Brisbane will have another year like 2005, with too many youngsters to develop in a hurry. But they'll get there in time.
In 2006 & 2007 they will draft young goalkicking runners, then in 2008 or 2009 just watch out.

Again, please forgive the formatting. I look forward to your comments.
 
Brisbane have they one more last tilt with champions players and youngsters or are the youngsters not up to it yet.
Up forward Brown when fit he probably the most imposing player in the game (especially after his first game back last year). Is Wayne Carey all over again in his marking, goal kicking and can play chf, ff and had runs on the ball. For Lions sake they hope for continual improvement in Daniel Merrett and Jared Brennan to be fit. Brennan is like White could be anything but never reaches the heights we expect. Injury has played its part in this but maybe he is not good enough to overcome these injuries. Mcgrath and Corrie are handy smalls. Clark may also play as a tall fwd.Bradshaw will be the starting ff if available.

Still have champion players in Voss, Power, Lappin, Akermanis and Black who will dominate a game if allowed but the worry is Lappin is injured again. Voss I thought may play a role similar to Lethal at the end of his career but is reportly very fit. Hadley will be loss but the Lions will be hoping youngsters Sherman, Selwood, MacDonald,Rischitelli, Harding all help out in midfield.

Charman will play as first ruck with Wood hoping to come on as cannot see too much of a role for Keating and McDonald.

Down back Michael is one of the best but interesting to see how Leppitsch is with Mills maybe playing as a tall back and help from Bradshaw. Flankers in Drummond, Adcock look good support for Johnson and Copeland.

I would think Lions are good enough to make top 6 if have good run with injuries.

Players to watch
Justin Sherman could be a player that changes with Voss onball.
Michael Richitelli running on baller maybe given first crack at this job.
Josh drummond good kick from backline and good running player

Players on the decline
Clark Keating best if Lions look at Wood and Clark first
Scott brothers lack of pace at 30 will count against as the Lions look to the future.